Market · 3 of 29 outcomes
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 29 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 6,796 | 6.2¢ | $717 | Losing−$17.41 per $100 · 7,319 bets |
| C-Ride0x4ed7…767e | Yes | 2,308 | 4.8¢ | $243 | New77 settled bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 2,170 | 4.4¢ | $229 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,672 bets |
| dabigferda0xf809…b391 | Yes | 1,827 | 5.5¢ | $193 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 202 | 92.3¢ | $181 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| 0xe4c1…f022 | Yes | 1,665 | 6.2¢ | $176 | — |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 1,605 | 2.5¢ | $169 | — |
| aodueh0x6435…e868 | Yes | 1,347 | 11.2¢ | $142 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 1,331 bets |
| dsadssss0xa7b5…ca2d | Yes | 1,073 | 9.8¢ | $113 | — |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 800 | 2.7¢ | $84 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| PRG110x28e2…dc45 | Yes | 537 | 4.8¢ | $57 | New46 settled bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 514 | 10.2¢ | $54 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| zhang45150x6009…acf9 | Yes | 500 | 11.8¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 286 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 41 | 91.2¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,985 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 336 | 7.9¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| degenerace0xfca7…5d82 | Yes | 320 | 6.2¢ | $34 | New42 settled bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 300 | 9.7¢ | $32 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| alex.ozello0xa969…1452 | Yes | 286 | 7.2¢ | $30 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 223 | 2.5¢ | $24 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,659 bets |
| windscreenwipers0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | 200 | 4.6¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,716 bets |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | 21 | 86.8¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xd418…07a4 | Yes | 180 | 8.4¢ | $19 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 180 | 2.5¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Binbesttoplane0xea1b…ec19 | Yes | 176 | 12.2¢ | $19 | — |
| jbsmooth0xfdba…b26a | Yes | 155 | 7.2¢ | $16 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 143 | 12.2¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0x484c…cfa5 | Yes | 140 | 11.0¢ | $15 | — |
| leectram20x0d4f…000e | Yes | 127 | 9.4¢ | $13 | Losing−$5.19 per $100 · 2,210 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 100 | 2.5¢ | $11 | Positive+$26.39 per $100 · 391 bets |
| kotyakayebaka0xefe9…b8ec | Yes | 99 | 10.0¢ | $10 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 94 | 2.5¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| romanew-2s0x68cc…78e0 | Yes | 81 | 12.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | Yes | 80 | 2.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 13,990 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 77 | 5.2¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 73 | 11.2¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 65 | 10.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| BigMaple50x3995…fe77 | Yes | 63 | 8.4¢ | $7 | — |
| Alcoolismfc0x06d0…07a5 | Yes | 45 | 11.5¢ | $5 | — |
| lostbuthaveam0x6f86…9484 | Yes | 43 | 9.6¢ | $4 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 40 | 10.9¢ | $4 | — |
| BUGGY0xdae1…7a4d | Yes | 38 | 10.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.38 per $100 · 321 bets |
| northstock0x56b2…2ce1 | Yes | 28 | 2.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3331…82f1 | No | 3 | 90.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xb1fa…3b9a | No | 3 | 92.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe99c…fe6c | No | 3 | 89.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa526…f2e4 | No | 3 | 92.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xecfd…c5dc | No | 3 | 90.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8b6d…db9f | No | 3 | 92.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7a98…eb18 | No | 3 | 89.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x339e…c113 | No | 3 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3e46…9421 | No | 3 | 90.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8778…9f2e | No | 2 | 89.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2eb1…7f3a | No | 2 | 90.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| 0x5b5f…2ad3 | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe337…9571 | No | 2 | 92.4¢ | $2 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 19 | 8.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| 0xfaab…79fe | No | 2 | 90.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa75c…e4c0 | No | 2 | 90.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x15bd…9b6d | No | 2 | 90.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd6a7…db20 | No | 2 | 92.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7c72…990b | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x932e…4b0f | No | 2 | 89.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xef4b…f8dc | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3416…14ff | No | 2 | 90.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x99df…326a | No | 2 | 92.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x76e8…f783 | No | 2 | 90.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x54f8…e3e2 | No | 2 | 89.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x33f8…fb9d | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9030…60e4 | No | 2 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa8f1…cb2b | No | 2 | 90.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x54e8…3d46 | No | 2 | 92.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8585…3f7a | No | 2 | 89.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Ampolo420xdb15…3390 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2285…a681 | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6178…9ec8 | No | 1 | 90.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 420120xba8d…009d | Yes | 1 | 9.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 1 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 0 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| Anoume0x69b7…6a5c | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 0 | 95.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,976 bets |
| dhfhhfjf0x333f…3cd6 | Yes | 0 | 12.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.89 per $100 · 662 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 0 | 88.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | — |
| elpatrondelaciudad0x156b…0f5b | No | 0 | 95.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 90.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.