Market · 1 of 17 outcomes
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 17 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JSG30x0191…541d | Yes | 4,168 | 77.8¢ | $2.95K | New18 settled bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 1,878 | 20.2¢ | $548 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 600 | 54.3¢ | $425 | Positive+$13.18 per $100 · 5,861 bets |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | Yes | 422 | 29.5¢ | $299 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 305 | 6.9¢ | $216 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 289 | 74.2¢ | $204 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 482 | 25.2¢ | $141 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 466 | 26.1¢ | $136 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| penguinec0xc33d…0d40 | Yes | 177 | 35.0¢ | $125 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 13,917 bets |
| 20YrsOfBoredom0x1ecc…53a9 | Yes | 127 | 69.7¢ | $90 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 110 | 79.8¢ | $78 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 266 | 26.2¢ | $78 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| bmoan0x32d0…6070 | No | 249 | 46.0¢ | $73 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 865 bets |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 100 | 46.5¢ | $71 | — |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 98 | 70.6¢ | $69 | — |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 203 | 65.9¢ | $59 | Proven+$2.94 per $100 · 2,404 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 60 | 7.3¢ | $42 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 40 | 74.8¢ | $28 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| OhneScharf0xd277…73fe | Yes | 30 | 27.0¢ | $21 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 27 | 35.6¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | $18 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 58 | 26.1¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 40 | 96.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,172 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 14 | 70.7¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 13 | 0.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 9 | 12.4¢ | $7 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 8 | 2.9¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 8 | 4.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,593 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 18 | 25.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 6 | 55.5¢ | $5 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 13 | 35.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 5 | 53.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x13e1…0805 | No | 10 | 69.2¢ | $3 | — |
| E23Lowriajksb9182912-as-q0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | 2 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 2 | 74.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| 46adasd0x248f…187c | Yes | 1 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 2 | 20.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | 1 | 72.3¢ | $0 | — |
| E22Worlg93ka0m7ms0s8cndfuw30xcb3f…5e72 | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| E20Lowa091mxlc1ascb838x0x1699…39ef | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 9.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 1 | 72.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 1 | 69.5¢ | $0 | — |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 0 | 34.8¢ | $0 | — |
| romanew-2s0x68cc…78e0 | No | 1 | 19.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 0 | 33.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PirateKings0x9cd2…b56f | No | 0 | 80.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 0 | 77.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| banestow0x3080…337b | No | 0 | 74.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$20.74 per $100 · 495 bets |
| dbschenka0x1c9f…b8ce | Yes | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 26.4¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 27.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 0 | 20.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 46.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 0 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 0 | 15.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 16.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| Famfritz0xae7d…058f | Yes | 0 | 8.8¢ | $0 | — |
| daviqq0xda20…cb8d | Yes | 0 | 8.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | No | 0 | 91.2¢ | $0 | — |
| corsur40x5c0a…a2c3 | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 22.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.