Market · 26 of 27 outcomes
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 27 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jach310x413d…0db8 | No | 17 | 95.7¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,222 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 14 | 92.5¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| LiquidatedDegen0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | 2,306 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.21 per $100 · 4,545 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 294 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,974 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 269 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 255 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| loyaltoyal0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 130 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 120 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,301 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 120 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,024 bets |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 109 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 101 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 60 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 58 | 0.8¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 56 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 53 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,638 bets |
| 0x5491…a8f5 | Yes | 46 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 45 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 32 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 28 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| HappyHippocampus0xb545…9d97 | Yes | 25 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| akko1230x403d…b04d | Yes | 23 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 21 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 20 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| 2DB0x06d1…d140 | Yes | 20 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | Yes | 20 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 15 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | Yes | 15 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 14 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,558 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,383 bets |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,452 bets |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 1 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| smalltest0xc474…d697 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 0 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.