Market · 7 of 16 outcomes
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 2,331 | 93.2¢ | $2.25K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 112 | 94.2¢ | $108 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 111 | 95.5¢ | $107 | — |
| 0x90f4…98e2 | No | 104 | 96.0¢ | $100 | — |
| FeetGoddessTaylorSwift0x269d…13cd | No | 100 | 96.0¢ | $96 | — |
| FrozenTomato0x9d06…c4e8 | No | 99 | 93.9¢ | $96 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 77 | 94.6¢ | $74 | — |
| ryansxlin950x4b41…652d | No | 53 | 95.0¢ | $51 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 32 | 95.5¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 21 | 95.0¢ | $20 | — |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 20 | 95.0¢ | $19 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 516 | 3.8¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 432 | 5.6¢ | $16 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
| thefakenick0x85b9…906d | No | 15 | 81.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 2,711 bets |
| 0x160b…8f91 | No | 15 | 96.0¢ | $14 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 350 | 4.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 13 | 95.1¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 306 | 5.3¢ | $11 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 278 | 6.4¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 230 | 3.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 6 | 88.4¢ | $6 | — |
| nevermoreee0x3677…c090 | No | 6 | 93.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xdce7…8bcf | No | 6 | 89.4¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 138 | 4.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 114 | 4.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 104 | 6.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 104 | 3.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| peakyman0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $4 | — |
| balerinacapuchina0xd86d…648d | No | 4 | 94.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 220 bets |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 95.5¢ | $2 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pollopollu0x7c83…d800 | No | 2 | 95.9¢ | $2 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 50 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Relaccsed0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2dfb…4387 | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3d05…acde | Yes | 32 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x91ad…b29e | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1508…2e0b | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 96.5¢ | $1 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 24 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 22 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 20 | 6.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
| meow-1230x0739…aba8 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 19 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 13 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kk819ddd0x4b58…dd1a | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 1 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| LonelyScissors0x460b…9894 | No | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Ludwig140x46e7…f51e | Yes | 0 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.