Market · 9 of 19 outcomes
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 1,590 | 95.2¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,546 bets |
| Josecito6660x116b…cf8e | No | 865 | 89.9¢ | $809 | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 167 bets |
| twnormie0xbe1d…3c6e | No | 804 | 81.4¢ | $751 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 123 bets |
| Runner1090x6a67…df6f | No | 700 | 93.3¢ | $655 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 671 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 640 | 92.4¢ | $599 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,934 bets |
| predictionater0x6460…8685 | No | 634 | 78.9¢ | $592 | — |
| BigBullet0xf437…4090 | No | 586 | 86.0¢ | $548 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 300 | 95.2¢ | $280 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| milkthedip0x4eee…5841 | No | 250 | 92.0¢ | $234 | Proven+$2.43 per $100 · 409 bets |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | No | 200 | 82.0¢ | $187 | — |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | No | 147 | 83.7¢ | $137 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 1,508 | 7.4¢ | $98 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | Yes | 1,470 | 16.2¢ | $96 | Proven+$3.19 per $100 · 465 bets |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | No | 100 | 86.0¢ | $94 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 13,963 bets |
| DoctorMaybe0x3e24…ca5d | No | 100 | 87.6¢ | $94 | — |
| 0x3efb…5d0f | Yes | 1,263 | 7.9¢ | $82 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 79 | 92.4¢ | $73 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xc997…26f6 | No | 70 | 95.9¢ | $65 | New0 settled bets |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 69 | 75.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 54 | 92.4¢ | $51 | — |
| ShadowVorcaro0x201c…6bfe | No | 50 | 87.6¢ | $47 | — |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 50 | 94.0¢ | $47 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 368 bets |
| RaphCrypto0x1873…37b6 | Yes | 588 | 7.6¢ | $38 | Proven+$11.10 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 40 | 94.0¢ | $37 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| Overcut-FS0x3596…6c81 | Yes | 500 | 8.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x012a…9fa9 | Yes | 440 | 23.1¢ | $29 | — |
| CloudCactus0x0c99…87cf | Yes | 406 | 17.9¢ | $26 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,158 bets |
| Abou750x9a37…4e2e | Yes | 357 | 7.3¢ | $23 | — |
| trumpinoo0xaf6d…f13b | No | 20 | 82.7¢ | $19 | — |
| ChoiceMeteor25200xb082…5138 | No | 20 | 93.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 19 | 94.1¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| StillWater00x7bab…8322 | Yes | 250 | 6.9¢ | $16 | Proven+$8.71 per $100 · 527 bets |
| liverpoolfc0xf0ac…80c0 | No | 11 | 92.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 10,101 bets |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | Yes | 153 | 16.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| Judi9110xa03a…7216 | Yes | 111 | 9.4¢ | $7 | — |
| TigerManagmentSports0x01f1…5a22 | No | 6 | 85.0¢ | $6 | — |
| CodeBlank0x790b…0050 | No | 5 | 95.2¢ | $5 | New85 settled bets |
| VectorNevine0xa242…cd4b | No | 5 | 95.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Socialista0xfa01…f0a7 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 7,515 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 52 | 7.3¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 50 | 17.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 42 | 9.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Bergitrus0x1a24…ea88 | Yes | 39 | 17.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Naaaforreaaal0x119e…b5ee | Yes | 34 | 20.4¢ | $2 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 32 | 9.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| 0xd272…ba50 | Yes | 31 | 16.8¢ | $2 | — |
| l5wrGYrLGv0xb5c4…cb3b | No | 2 | 94.3¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 25 | 17.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 2 | 94.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| 0xedbc…c303 | No | 2 | 94.3¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 16 | 18.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 9 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| 0xf61a…2da0 | Yes | 5 | 19.8¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 0 | 95.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.