Market · 3 of 21 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 79 | 93.3¢ | $76 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 75 | 97.9¢ | $73 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 50 | 98.0¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| Pump0xe74d…22fd | Yes | 1,368 | 2.6¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x3e59…b2be | Yes | 1,278 | 4.1¢ | $42 | Losing−$22.45 per $100 · 1,060 bets |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 1,208 | 2.3¢ | $40 | Proven+$9.93 per $100 · 326 bets |
| HaftzumBefehl0x640a…b2f0 | Yes | 1,031 | 3.7¢ | $34 | — |
| SlayerH0x17e4…4d33 | Yes | 1,000 | 2.6¢ | $33 | Losing−$7.61 per $100 · 480 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | Yes | 945 | 2.5¢ | $31 | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
| NovakPospisil0x2be9…d39f | No | 26 | 97.9¢ | $26 | — |
| antonshevcov0x1804…d986 | No | 25 | 97.5¢ | $24 | New60 settled bets |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 720 | 2.1¢ | $24 | — |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 654 | 5.3¢ | $22 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 650 | 2.5¢ | $21 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 650 | 2.8¢ | $21 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 607 | 2.9¢ | $20 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,566 bets |
| 0x87ff…e6e8 | Yes | 581 | 2.8¢ | $19 | — |
| maxkisel0xd11a…ed7d | Yes | 497 | 5.5¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 414 | 2.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| 0x9afd…c377 | Yes | 343 | 3.3¢ | $11 | — |
| mememememe0x7997…0b06 | No | 10 | 97.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x4b62…771d | No | 10 | 97.7¢ | $10 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 94.8¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 10 | 98.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 259 | 2.9¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
| hawkslol0x90e1…e809 | Yes | 218 | 2.7¢ | $7 | — |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 200 | 2.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4704…d33d | Yes | 200 | 1.8¢ | $7 | — |
| can1110x5cfd…ca1b | Yes | 200 | 3.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.04 per $100 · 666 bets |
| normieholocaust0x7fe7…dbd6 | Yes | 198 | 3.5¢ | $7 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 109 | 2.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| G8RQxf3vBMVT0xa2da…81c3 | Yes | 103 | 5.0¢ | $3 | — |
| GamblerGalore0xd3e8…ec57 | Yes | 100 | 3.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x637e…8cea | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $3 | — |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 100 | 2.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$16.35 per $100 · 11,119 bets |
| Degovnerd0x034a…d14b | Yes | 88 | 5.9¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 331 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 84 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| easyg7860xe6fd…1502 | Yes | 74 | 2.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Mikoomi60x724b…81bd | Yes | 61 | 3.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x65a2…6950 | Yes | 54 | 3.4¢ | $2 | New63 settled bets |
| Daddy-Xi0xffb7…d3c0 | Yes | 49 | 4.2¢ | $2 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 46 | 4.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.57 per $100 · 341,843+ bets · updating |
| 0xecb2…f6cf | Yes | 43 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 41 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 2.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe90d…a7c0 | Yes | 36 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | 33 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 32 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| tassoruas0x7264…fded | Yes | 31 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7130…5387 | Yes | 30 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 620 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 28 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 25 | 4.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | Yes | 23 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| trader-9b7793990x9b77…53cd | Yes | 22 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | Yes | 10 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | 10 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.