Market · 10 of 21 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 238 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 179 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 126 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,932 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 72 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 41 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 17 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 15 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 10 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 2 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.