Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 98.2¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 500 | 1.6¢ | $6 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 412 | 3.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 284 | 1.9¢ | $3 | — |
| paecnlei0270x0129…3f3a | No | 2 | 99.1¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 115 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | No | 1 | 98.2¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 112 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 87 | 5.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 59 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 57 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.71 per $100 · 57,293+ bets · updating |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 48 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.03 per $100 · 18,899 bets |
| ksass0x740d…f262 | Yes | 41 | 8.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| imagineall0x5ba8…2bdf | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 11 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| AndrewDelph0x86d0…2cb5 | Yes | 10 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 10 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | 5 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
| BatyKaren0xd4b6…7e4e | Yes | 2 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 0 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.