Market · 3 of 29 outcomes
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nero25890x1464…5e75 | No | 795 | 82.0¢ | $696 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 2,380 bets |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | No | 751 | 89.4¢ | $657 | Proven+$13.22 per $100 · 3,556 bets |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | Yes | 868 | 11.1¢ | $108 | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 120 | 88.0¢ | $105 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| amused850x8fe7…4f20 | Yes | 750 | 17.8¢ | $94 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 5,572 bets |
| Peaven0x4b48…35d0 | No | 100 | 82.0¢ | $88 | Proven+$10.81 per $100 · 593 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 95 | 87.0¢ | $83 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | 80 | 89.5¢ | $70 | — |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 45 | 71.9¢ | $39 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 302 | 6.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| ZoranSa0x1fae…ce9f | Yes | 241 | 9.6¢ | $30 | — |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 190 | 8.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$7.57 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 23 | 90.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,629 bets |
| bender220x9053…8d97 | Yes | 133 | 11.3¢ | $17 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 121 | 6.9¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,282 bets |
| 0x3c42…2adc | Yes | 109 | 12.3¢ | $14 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 12 | 86.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| TestAccountRewards0x8f38…9a3c | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xf45f…dbfd | Yes | 50 | 12.0¢ | $6 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 35 | 18.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 5 | 88.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| 0xcbc4…6070 | Yes | 33 | 15.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 23.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | 26 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| dfobos0x78f5…bccd | Yes | 12 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc2e9…23a7 | Yes | 6 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 13.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xcca3…c872 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Putin–Zelenskyy Meeting Location · 4 events · $147K in play
Exactly one of this event's 29 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.