Market · 7 of 23 outcomes
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 2,826 | 80.9¢ | $2.22K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,109 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,403 | 27.2¢ | $302 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 830 | 26.6¢ | $178 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 105 | 79.9¢ | $83 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | No | 101 | 81.0¢ | $79 | — |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 264 | 21.0¢ | $57 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 56 | 57.9¢ | $44 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Eklipse20250x7b23…fafc | No | 50 | 81.0¢ | $39 | — |
| mamboNB50x1c00…7af4 | No | 37 | 27.0¢ | $29 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 120 | 27.1¢ | $26 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 110 | 28.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 30 | 86.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 101 | 35.9¢ | $22 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 101 | 41.7¢ | $22 | — |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 92 | 33.0¢ | $20 | — |
| HERO-KING0xdbc6…1a49 | No | 21 | 79.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 56fgh4j15g0x00b5…1b11 | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| gh561f0x13eb…a4e6 | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| fdgh1d5f0x20f2…a18e | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| gf1n0gh50x31ec…d394 | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| f5g1546df0x37e2…13e1 | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 63f1g63df0x4dbc…9fea | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| f21g5fd0xa06f…90ac | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| g65hf165fg30xbc0e…3c0f | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 17 | 86.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| Driftzr0x0da2…1f5a | Yes | 60 | 17.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | 50 | 31.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | 40 | 36.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.04 per $100 · 4,142 bets |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $8 | — |
| PerformSleepState0xbdad…3ef7 | Yes | 33 | 19.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 30 | 17.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| 0x4365…e20a | Yes | 30 | 21.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 36.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| 0xb565…d8ba | No | 5 | 50.0¢ | $4 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 10,906 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | Yes | 10 | 22.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 12,017 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | Yes | 10 | 22.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,091 bets |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | Yes | 10 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | Yes | 10 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | Yes | 10 | 43.0¢ | $2 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | Yes | 10 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | Yes | 10 | 44.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 2 | 81.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0x1828…5bcc | Yes | 5 | 20.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 37.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$15.40 per $100 · 4,590 bets |
| v1ncent0x4afc…e11e | Yes | 3 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 3 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 65.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 19.1¢ | $0 | — |
| brra0x9435…91fd | No | 0 | 81.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 0 | 41.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| nhadap0x4232…4159 | Yes | 0 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lokmjj0xb811…7f7d | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.