Market · 18 of 30 outcomes
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 30,000 | 0.2¢ | $30 | — |
| GurdFS0xbd1e…af43 | No | 18 | 99.7¢ | $18 | — |
| uiytfadbnf0x52b8…038a | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 3,001 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 2,052 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,167 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6833…d9e8 | Yes | 1,024 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.37 per $100 · 22,814 bets |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 850 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 820 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| ki7ti9gyugh789ig0x4c56…f816 | Yes | 793 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 738 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,053 bets |
| gsdw4erasfe4q0xffe5…6555 | Yes | 734 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 544 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,576 bets |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.27 per $100 · 4,820 bets |
| 0xa3f6…c142 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 399 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 388 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 325 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| 0x5fb7…0068 | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 90 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,771 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 89 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| beachboy10x2fab…5623 | Yes | 70 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| drunkobunko0xba89…468c | Yes | 70 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 60 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$120.85 per $100 · 643 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 56 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,613 bets |
| tiancs0x8301…3bdc | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 40 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| Risky-MooLa0xe1d2…0ecf | Yes | 40 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| llei0xec03…0773 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 3j2ei23098ui0x24ca…5829 | Yes | 34 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 30 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 2040axis0x99df…b6a5 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| sarAhgarReTt0xac1a…aa8b | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe4ca…5b0f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.72 per $100 · 12,552 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.