Market · 29 of 30 outcomes
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 33,000 | 0.1¢ | $17 | — |
| jhghghrt0x99b6…172b | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| gyjfgui0x1f3a…1d48 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9aa0…8779 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 5,129 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,914 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,542 bets |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 1,010 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 880 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 863 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 521 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,044 bets |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.27 per $100 · 4,820 bets |
| 0xb986…4b60 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TopNotch0xd765…4b8c | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 329 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| HiroshiTana0xa78d…6b41 | Yes | 218 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 205 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 200 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 9,382 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x24bb…c9f5 | Yes | 195 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 177 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 156 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 105 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,629 bets |
| elpatrondelaciudad0x156b…0f5b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| wulitaotao0x4169…98e9 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 93 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 74 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.37 per $100 · 22,814 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 57 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0xc2ea…9478 | Yes | 50 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 3j2ei23098ui0x24ca…5829 | Yes | 34 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde4f…d013 | Yes | 31 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | Yes | 27 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 26 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,976 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 23 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| 0x1664…c71c | No | 0 | 100.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| visionmoon0xfd30…26c8 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 20 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,587 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 16 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 15 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| nashyy430xa208…2e1b | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.