Market · 3 of 25 outcomes
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 25 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 320 | 79.3¢ | $317 | Break-even−$0.47 per $100 · 2,637 bets |
| PhilHawesLover0x6b3a…2841 | No | 142 | 78.5¢ | $141 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 9,505 bets |
| 0xa79b…9409 | No | 103 | 83.4¢ | $102 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 89 | 79.8¢ | $89 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 50 | 77.6¢ | $50 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 28 | 81.6¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.94 per $100 · 2,404 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,985 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 2,286 | 11.0¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| turkxbt0xf811…69ba | Yes | 946 | 17.1¢ | $8 | — |
| olivas0x37a0…ec34 | No | 7 | 84.4¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 778 bets |
| cpu0010x8890…cefb | Yes | 711 | 38.6¢ | $6 | — |
| w3nerick0xef05…b6b2 | Yes | 647 | 1.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 5 | 78.7¢ | $5 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 5 | 82.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 348 | 12.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 308 | 7.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 2 | 79.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 2 | 98.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 241 | 5.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x2955…0738 | Yes | 211 | 8.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| aph00xf764…b216 | No | 2 | 59.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| pengu-n0x55ab…4f88 | Yes | 148 | 12.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 13,734 bets |
| 0xe8cc…ae8d | Yes | 113 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PirateKings0x9cd2…b56f | No | 1 | 85.6¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | No | 1 | 83.2¢ | $1 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 70 | 26.1¢ | $1 | — |
| random12340x8236…7c8c | No | 1 | 58.3¢ | $1 | — |
| perepuk0x51f2…38ef | Yes | 59 | 42.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 56 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 53 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.25 per $100 · 5,875 bets |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 50 | 22.7¢ | $0 | — |
| UTILIZADOR20xba6c…618b | Yes | 47 | 23.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 44 | 10.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| KittyKatter0x87dd…805d | Yes | 31 | 16.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7417…8329 | Yes | 30 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| dadapecam0x2ac3…13a8 | Yes | 28 | 7.5¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 27 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 20 | 13.8¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 19 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 12 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| jaadeeess0xb8a4…0de2 | Yes | 12 | 41.7¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 10 | 9.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0x730a…b959 | Yes | 8 | 20.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | No | 0 | 62.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| sorin10x1047…763a | No | 0 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| fourtt0x313f…e8a5 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| CustomTrader0x9129…dd8e | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.09 per $100 · 1,784 bets |
| malloyc30xcd2e…0873 | No | 0 | 62.7¢ | $0 | — |
| meow-1230x0739…aba8 | Yes | 1 | 45.7¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| laborday250x3942…22d9 | Yes | 1 | 20.0¢ | $0 | New68 settled bets |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 1 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 15.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.57 per $100 · 2,473 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| fish7410x266b…afaa | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | 0 | 17.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 3,612 bets |
| corsur40x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| catgrino0x8aa6…6316 | Yes | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| glaucoPS0xb073…54fb | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| E22Worlg93ka0m7ms0s8cndfuw30xcb3f…5e72 | Yes | 0 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | Yes | 0 | 12.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.