Market · 13 of 30 outcomes
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 183 | 99.2¢ | $183 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 10,650 | 0.2¢ | $16 | Positive+$42.20 per $100 · 2,803 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 8,299 | 0.2¢ | $12 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| KING-VIP230xfd66…fb6d | Yes | 3,036 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$16.79 per $100 · 3,414 bets |
| ClariseStarling0070xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 2,846 | 1.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$12.25 per $100 · 3,938 bets |
| 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 2,000 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| intwit0xdbb4…afe9 | Yes | 1,670 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $2 | New71 settled bets |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 1,249 | 2.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,173 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| 0x0639…312f | Yes | 1,098 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 19nzekyp3sob0xa90a…523f | Yes | 1,077 | 2.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 676 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| weirdCancel0x0e7d…1313 | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| tennis9190x6e33…e9c5 | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| cover60150x7049…4add | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Hen.Jelly.Want0xf94b…4dbf | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| asfdt290xcdb0…1581 | Yes | 573 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 569 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,995 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Mmdagha0x4211…acc7 | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 467 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 464 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 410 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Monstredu380xcba1…b4e2 | Yes | 338 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| Born2suffer0x3cc6…746c | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| TopNotch0xd765…4b8c | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Zazaju0x3dee…91b1 | No | 1 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 263 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Tankista0x21d2…245f | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7fcd…d377 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 229 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,238 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 188 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 154 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 128 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| 0x733f…4e20 | Yes | 124 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| beachboy10x2fab…5623 | Yes | 100 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0a81…8d30 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 60 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$120.85 per $100 · 643 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 59 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.