Market · 8 of 20 outcomes
Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.6¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,771 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 577 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 135 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,282 bets |
| 0x5140…052b | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3aaf…7742 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,576 bets |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 23 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 10 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| lightsout9120x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | 10 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 5 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 4,466 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.71 per $100 · 58,881+ bets · updating |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 160,034+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.