Market · 6 of 21 outcomes
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,341 bets |
| dthyrdthrth0x8d72…0632 | No | 19 | 99.7¢ | $19 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 575 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 498 | 2.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,944 bets |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Z91EX0x3f67…002d | Yes | 211 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 55 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 48 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.02 per $100 · 18,907 bets |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 38 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 33 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 12 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 9 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,440 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 0 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.