Market · 1 of 30 outcomes
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
19 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Yes | 98,607 | 65.1¢ | $86K | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,766 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 86,300 | 67.3¢ | $75.3K | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | Yes | 47,748 | 77.3¢ | $41.7K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Nargili0x96f4…edc5 | No | 318,291 | 43.1¢ | $40.6K | New52 settled bets |
| 0xbe48…683f | Yes | 24,553 | 81.5¢ | $21.4K | New22 settled bets |
| GoriIIa0xfffa…864b | Yes | 24,214 | 82.6¢ | $21.1K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 414 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 23,000 | 85.2¢ | $20.1K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | Yes | 22,634 | 84.7¢ | $19.7K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| Llalalala0x05e2…6e12 | Yes | 21,778 | 83.9¢ | $19K | Proven+$11.42 per $100 · 125 bets |
| cocos2280x8e5c…a68a | Yes | 18,915 | 65.3¢ | $16.5K | Proven+$17.59 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x45a2…3c01 | Yes | 17,938 | 80.8¢ | $15.7K | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 216 bets |
| ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1 | Yes | 17,928 | 69.7¢ | $15.6K | New55 settled bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 17,584 | 77.7¢ | $15.3K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x5d2f…5034 | Yes | 12,541 | 80.1¢ | $10.9K | New12 settled bets |
| Roflan-ludoman0xfcf2…a469 | Yes | 12,383 | 54.5¢ | $10.8K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 1,478 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | 11,238 | 65.1¢ | $9.81K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | Yes | 10,786 | 83.8¢ | $9.41K | Proven+$19.44 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 10,150 | 86.3¢ | $8.86K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| JJo0xc408…4675 | Yes | 9,370 | 82.0¢ | $8.18K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,924 bets |
| FinStar0x4b8f…4a0f | Yes | 8,933 | 71.0¢ | $7.79K | New47 settled bets |
| Moond0x9dfe…b3dd | Yes | 8,628 | 68.2¢ | $7.53K | Proven+$7.42 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 7,903 | 81.9¢ | $6.9K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| Marc3450x0911…6594 | Yes | 7,232 | 83.0¢ | $6.31K | New9 settled bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 7,156 | 85.1¢ | $6.24K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| yeeTradez0x1181…9e90 | Yes | 7,129 | 66.8¢ | $6.22K | Losing−$1.63 per $100 · 203 bets |
| arii0x3a32…562e | Yes | 6,138 | 73.0¢ | $5.36K | Losing−$8.97 per $100 · 256 bets |
| Yarick0x7b1e…1385 | No | 40,530 | 40.9¢ | $5.17K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 533 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | Yes | 5,889 | 82.9¢ | $5.14K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | Yes | 5,533 | 83.3¢ | $4.83K | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| chong3580x9b54…5e38 | Yes | 5,417 | 60.9¢ | $4.73K | Losing−$2.73 per $100 · 103 bets |
| SleeperHunter0x606f…1083 | Yes | 5,000 | 85.0¢ | $4.36K | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 377 bets |
| Sylvester.the.Cat0x0f2b…665a | Yes | 5,000 | 82.3¢ | $4.36K | Proven+$7.28 per $100 · 118 bets |
| 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | 4,597 | 78.3¢ | $4.01K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 265 bets |
| sqaolkytrpoi0xd6dd…98ee | Yes | 4,401 | 80.1¢ | $3.84K | Proven+$5.99 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | Yes | 4,219 | 74.5¢ | $3.68K | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| zerosmart0x2755…5016 | Yes | 4,071 | 36.0¢ | $3.55K | Proven+$75.16 per $100 · 154 bets |
| jtradegbr0x2bc7…e411 | Yes | 3,986 | 84.8¢ | $3.48K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 2,136 bets |
| yomayoto0xf2fc…7a15 | Yes | 3,790 | 83.6¢ | $3.31K | New76 settled bets |
| loewesan0x06ab…ee5c | Yes | 3,700 | 83.9¢ | $3.23K | New95 settled bets |
| garlictrump0x6630…2f4e | Yes | 3,579 | 80.1¢ | $3.12K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 547 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 3,516 | 81.6¢ | $3.07K | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | Yes | 3,352 | 79.6¢ | $2.92K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,956 bets |
| dzsibenaja0x59a5…afc8 | Yes | 3,291 | 76.1¢ | $2.87K | Proven+$2.40 per $100 · 217 bets |
| LukiB0x730d…d448 | Yes | 3,250 | 63.7¢ | $2.84K | New87 settled bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 20,371 | 17.7¢ | $2.6K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | Yes | 2,776 | 81.4¢ | $2.42K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| Mr-Krabs0x8597…daee | Yes | 2,672 | 78.7¢ | $2.33K | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 838 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 2,647 | 83.6¢ | $2.31K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| FastPaws0x0548…d852 | Yes | 2,616 | 83.8¢ | $2.28K | New39 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 2,564 | 82.8¢ | $2.24K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0xaa75…a864 | Yes | 2,516 | 61.7¢ | $2.2K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,942 bets |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | Yes | 2,500 | 77.9¢ | $2.18K | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 4,552 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 2,432 | 46.7¢ | $2.12K | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| Treedud250x48e3…03cc | No | 12,393 | 25.9¢ | $1.58K | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 155 bets |
| EasyGoingA0xc390…2a1f | No | 10,163 | 18.7¢ | $1.3K | Proven+$13.15 per $100 · 320 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 9,723 | 23.5¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$7.88 per $100 · 526 bets |
| ded-ind-emp-seer0x96cf…94ae | No | 9,590 | 41.2¢ | $1.22K | New11 settled bets |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | No | 8,984 | 22.2¢ | $1.15K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| gregamar0x0627…f26d | No | 8,412 | 0.0¢ | $1.07K | New82 settled bets |
| RooksD0000xf68a…63a3 | No | 8,350 | 38.1¢ | $1.06K | Positive+$15.02 per $100 · 447 bets |
| hol-div0x273d…d0ed | No | 8,084 | 63.7¢ | $1.03K | New6 settled bets |
| 0x1299…6277 | No | 8,060 | 0.0¢ | $1.03K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 104 bets |
| final-divination0x9ea7…7e1c | No | 7,372 | 43.7¢ | $940 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x71cb…2516 | No | 6,500 | 24.5¢ | $829 | New41 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 6,417 | 17.3¢ | $818 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| eternal-victory0x9596…258b | No | 6,328 | 63.2¢ | $807 | New8 settled bets |
| everlasting-resplendence0xc37f…d6b9 | No | 6,325 | 65.9¢ | $806 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 5,631 | 53.7¢ | $718 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| euphoricblade0x5ee5…99b5 | No | 5,631 | 39.0¢ | $718 | New1 settled bet |
| Jsmiler0x7f4e…2e3e | No | 5,002 | 33.0¢ | $638 | New27 settled bets |
| immortal-prediction0xe07a…2357 | No | 4,950 | 55.1¢ | $631 | New7 settled bets |
| prognostico0xb2cf…b1e5 | No | 4,935 | 64.8¢ | $629 | New2 settled bets |
| Hiworld.0x4f23…90db | No | 4,527 | 49.7¢ | $577 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 428 bets |
| door-negaah0x7b99…955f | No | 4,246 | 64.8¢ | $541 | New3 settled bets |
| ToTheMoonAndBack0xfea6…a363 | No | 4,184 | 66.9¢ | $534 | Losing−$7.99 per $100 · 126 bets |
| koala15030xe95c…01ef | No | 4,171 | 24.0¢ | $532 | New56 settled bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 3,494 | 27.3¢ | $445 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| Abir110x298f…1601 | No | 3,491 | 19.2¢ | $445 | New99 settled bets |
| Polly670x364f…1515 | No | 3,323 | 17.7¢ | $424 | Losing−$25.47 per $100 · 122 bets |
| 0x274c…da86 | No | 3,209 | 62.3¢ | $409 | New46 settled bets |
| WhateverDude0x50e4…1ced | No | 3,075 | 65.0¢ | $392 | New74 settled bets |
| 0x7a65…55a4 | No | 2,629 | 17.1¢ | $335 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x689f…b3dd | No | 2,383 | 17.4¢ | $304 | New25 settled bets |
| 0xe6c4…4c8b | No | 2,334 | 45.6¢ | $298 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 203 bets |
| Yupionso0xe17f…9d41 | No | 2,326 | 26.2¢ | $297 | New76 settled bets |
| 0x33e8…2896 | No | 2,318 | 66.4¢ | $296 | New24 settled bets |
| 0x8512…1a76 | No | 2,315 | 21.8¢ | $295 | New44 settled bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | No | 1,989 | 0.0¢ | $254 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| yeeza0xa3bd…0cf9 | No | 1,908 | 13.1¢ | $243 | New0 settled bets |
| ClearMove0xd7f1…73cd | No | 1,900 | 63.8¢ | $242 | Positive+$12.07 per $100 · 1,186 bets |
| 0x960a…0ef5 | No | 1,870 | 69.5¢ | $238 | New69 settled bets |
| Hakei.0x97ea…3363 | No | 1,860 | 18.7¢ | $237 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | No | 1,700 | 49.2¢ | $217 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| kohalacoastgabe0x63e3…f341 | No | 1,682 | 17.8¢ | $214 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 292 bets |
| 0x970a…9dc8 | No | 1,592 | 31.4¢ | $203 | New19 settled bets |
| WhatTheHelly0xe471…c87c | No | 1,542 | 0.0¢ | $197 | Positive+$8.80 per $100 · 1,202 bets |
| Avitz330x7a90…2ff9 | No | 1,503 | 17.1¢ | $192 | Proven+$13.01 per $100 · 1,255 bets |
| idfinsider02280x2b76…edef | No | 1,500 | 64.2¢ | $191 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 156 bets |
| 0x041f…a35c | No | 1,480 | 0.0¢ | $189 | New3 settled bets |
| 0xeca4…fda6 | No | 1,459 | 21.0¢ | $186 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.