Market · 22 of 23 outcomes
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 1,944 | 97.9¢ | $1.9K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 406 bets |
| laureman0x1359…092e | No | 313 | 96.8¢ | $307 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 119 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 218 | 94.5¢ | $214 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 100 | 96.0¢ | $98 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| 0xd8c2…105e | No | 48 | 98.3¢ | $47 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 18 | 96.5¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 2.3¢ | $13 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 527 | 2.1¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| Binarap0x2f93…7fa6 | No | 10 | 95.3¢ | $10 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 10 | 96.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$9.08 per $100 · 9,048 bets |
| andy12670x2d6c…67c8 | No | 10 | 94.8¢ | $10 | — |
| uasddhhjj32130xfd46…e7d3 | No | 9 | 95.3¢ | $9 | — |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 7 | 96.0¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 298 | 3.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 250 | 2.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 5 | 97.9¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 238 | 1.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Conpink0xc8cd…ed53 | No | 5 | 95.2¢ | $5 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 4 | 97.2¢ | $4 | — |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 4 | 97.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| bazzaloing0x29a5…7752 | No | 4 | 96.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.26 per $100 · 2,716 bets |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 127 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.79 per $100 · 2,180 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 122 | 2.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 121 | 2.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 18,514 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 106 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 102 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | Yes | 65 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 1 | 97.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| Xyzzzzzzz0xb62c…6657 | Yes | 20 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 18 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 0 | 97.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 10 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 6 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 95.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 0 | 96.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,286 bets |
| AMo0xf562…4099 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | 0 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.