Market · 17 of 23 outcomes
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 2,158 | 89.3¢ | $2.06K | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 600 | 94.7¢ | $572 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| Putniy1110x10b7…9e3c | No | 300 | 89.0¢ | $286 | — |
| romeinzc0x1bce…24cd | No | 257 | 90.0¢ | $245 | — |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,325 | 4.2¢ | $62 | Proven+$13.22 per $100 · 3,556 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 50 | 92.0¢ | $48 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 562 | 12.9¢ | $26 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 22 | 96.5¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | No | 20 | 91.0¢ | $19 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| KG0080xb7c0…8ef2 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $19 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 347 | 5.6¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 14 | 94.9¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | Yes | 261 | 9.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$14.56 per $100 · 253 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 260 | 6.9¢ | $12 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 250 | 5.1¢ | $12 | — |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 10 | 90.8¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 9,194 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 90.8¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 4,971 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $10 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 90.7¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 4,068 bets |
| Biejci0xc1eb…4272 | No | 8 | 97.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | No | 8 | 90.8¢ | $8 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 163 | 9.5¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| PAntipov0xea1d…e993 | No | 5 | 93.5¢ | $5 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 60 | 12.0¢ | $3 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 53 | 4.8¢ | $2 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 50 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 30 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 88.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.67 per $100 · 350 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4029…7639 | No | 1 | 95.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 1 | 75.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 16 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,087 bets |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 14 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 11 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 3,608 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 9,458 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 7,441 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | Yes | 10 | 7.6¢ | $0 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 9 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.24 per $100 · 8,659 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 2 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 7,693 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 2 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.91 per $100 · 4,720 bets |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 0 | 95.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 16,779 bets |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | No | 0 | 94.9¢ | $0 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | Yes | 0 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.