Market · 4 of 23 outcomes
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chicanery.0xa8c2…b635 | No | 480 | 64.5¢ | $314 | — |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 880 | 39.7¢ | $304 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 8811120xd426…334a |
| No |
| 268 |
| 62.0¢ |
| $175 |
| Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | No | 181 | 54.2¢ | $119 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 138 | 65.5¢ | $91 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,106 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 100 | 60.0¢ | $66 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 92 | 64.3¢ | $60 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 488 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 150 | 40.4¢ | $52 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 38.0¢ | $41 | — |
| 0xc327…31f5 | No | 57 | 49.8¢ | $37 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 97 | 34.7¢ | $33 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 51.2¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| 0xc0bc…1473 | No | 20 | 47.0¢ | $13 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 27 | 49.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 26 | 36.8¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 38.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| GidGud0x4867…a6f8 | Yes | 20 | 60.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 2,805 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 70.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 3,608 bets |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $7 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 14 | 42.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 11 | 41.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 29.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 2 | 62.3¢ | $1 | — |
| yo20000x6417…8279 | No | 1 | 70.9¢ | $1 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 1 | 63.0¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | No | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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