Market · 10 of 30 outcomes
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 498 | 93.5¢ | $496 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 110 | 99.2¢ | $110 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| LANDFNG0x7d72…5032 | No | 66 | 99.6¢ | $66 | — |
| 32r54tamm0x8c63…2706 | No | 50 | 96.5¢ | $50 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 40 | 97.0¢ | $40 | — |
| guladdin0xdf1d…0171 | Yes | 6,309 | 1.3¢ | $22 | — |
| Kometiceye0xf4f7…7cab | No | 19 | 96.1¢ | $19 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,278 | 2.6¢ | $18 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0x8d62…d220 | No | 15 | 99.8¢ | $15 | — |
| shizitou10xa27e…502b | No | 15 | 96.7¢ | $15 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 4,190 | 1.3¢ | $15 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,931 bets |
| paaletee0x5eda…92a7 | Yes | 3,013 | 2.5¢ | $11 | — |
| Skrit0x89e7…df6b | Yes | 2,851 | 11.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Laura71470x263c…2e3f | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x25db…28de | Yes | 2,742 | 0.4¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 437 bets |
| Winerlos0x04fb…2f00 | No | 9 | 96.2¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x7a65…55a4 | Yes | 2,093 | 4.8¢ | $7 | New22 settled bets |
| Camila54450x474f…bd7c | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 1,931 | 0.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| BigBoiBettin0x48ee…008c | Yes | 1,925 | 5.2¢ | $7 | Positive+$19.61 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Tresut940xb379…7364 | No | 6 | 96.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Betmeonce0x6326…01d6 | Yes | 1,628 | 12.1¢ | $6 | Proven+$20.37 per $100 · 140 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 1,612 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| Judy8130x0051…a4bd | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Aria98680xcfd2…a3fe | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Tulibuli0xb83a…7457 | No | 5 | 94.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SoftFinger0xfa88…8870 | No | 5 | 96.6¢ | $5 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 5 | 96.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| ricorodmerguezo0x266f…9f85 | Yes | 1,314 | 7.6¢ | $5 | New40 settled bets |
| bearbees20x12b8…479c | Yes | 1,200 | 3.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 259 bets |
| BlendER0x2ffa…f20a | No | 4 | 95.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 4 | 91.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| Ufomaniak0xfff2…55d0 | No | 4 | 96.1¢ | $4 | — |
| TopNotch0xd765…4b8c | Yes | 1,179 | 3.0¢ | $4 | — |
| logic.shaft.burst0x042e…257f | No | 4 | 93.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4c43…2dd0 | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 1,063 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 1,054 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 969 | 3.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| Shirley37270x1ee9…ff93 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x13da…08c5 | Yes | 901 | 2.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 796 | 2.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| ClariseStarling0070xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | 750 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Gr33d0x4b74…e8d7 | No | 3 | 97.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 4,685 bets |
| chraven0x01f8…6c84 | Yes | 656 | 10.1¢ | $2 | — |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 650 | 3.9¢ | $2 | New71 settled bets |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | Yes | 600 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$12.29 per $100 · 3,032 bets |
| loikjjhh0x3297…c332 | No | 2 | 95.7¢ | $2 | — |
| AMo0xf562…4099 | Yes | 586 | 3.2¢ | $2 | — |
| accrete0x1dd9…21cc | No | 2 | 97.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 115 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 533 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| rgess0x2c7a…6875 | Yes | 481 | 2.8¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 457 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 422 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 402 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| navidnnnn0xd664…3bc1 | Yes | 382 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x193e…3aab | Yes | 381 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 369 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| wilkegin0xb14c…7bdb | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe7ac…c7e2 | Yes | 346 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| godbet220x5af4…5898 | Yes | 318 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| DaveyDeVries0x62b6…eec6 | Yes | 302 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 1 | 97.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| fgjff0x395e…47b5 | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x63e6…94db | Yes | 288 | 6.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| forest9420x0ba6…6415 | No | 1 | 94.5¢ | $1 | — |
| avoidTragic0x826c…0f9b | No | 1 | 94.5¢ | $1 | — |
| offerug690xc56a…9de7 | No | 1 | 94.5¢ | $1 | — |
| griefgb610xd0e3…89bc | No | 1 | 94.5¢ | $1 | — |
| gloom-fine0xd912…42d3 | No | 1 | 94.5¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 277 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | 253 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 0x8679…510a | Yes | 224 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc9b9…fbf9 | Yes | 218 | 9.2¢ | $1 | — |
| betperson0x72aa…1aae | Yes | 217 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| -gg-0xd73b…6b37 | Yes | 210 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| climateprofessor0x2141…7fa2 | Yes | 200 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| YossiDamam0x25df…6fff | Yes | 200 | 4.3¢ | $1 | New81 settled bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| EasyGoingA0xc390…2a1f | Yes | 200 | 3.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$13.15 per $100 · 320 bets |
| mnmnmm0x43e2…c592 | Yes | 171 | 11.7¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 142 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| msatoshi0x7368…fd66 | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | — |
| dongdo0x3c30…d8ab | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Chegildek0xbcc2…8c9a | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 94.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| g6ljad9c0x1082…3abd | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| 0x993f…35cb | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | — |
| km7ul8cz0x1ae7…5fe3 | No | 0 | 97.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 222 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 3 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.