Market · 6 of 23 outcomes
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 2,951 | 79.2¢ | $2.32K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,142 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,220 | 29.4¢ | $262 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 718 | 23.5¢ | $154 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 100 | 80.0¢ | $79 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 5,710 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 256 | 23.9¢ | $55 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 50 | 77.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 50 | 81.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 176 | 18.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,401 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 123 | 53.1¢ | $26 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| tommychien0x52fa…8692 | No | 33 | 61.0¢ | $26 | New35 settled bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 101 | 41.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Ty564r0x5b5e…30d3 | No | 26 | 40.9¢ | $21 | Proven+$7.44 per $100 · 163 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 94 | 19.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,077 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 89 | 22.6¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093 bets |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | No | 21 | 71.0¢ | $16 | — |
| telloier0x795b…623a | Yes | 61 | 16.0¢ | $13 | New9 settled bets |
| memorymaker20490x9259…c2d3 | Yes | 60 | 51.5¢ | $13 | — |
| low-prob-test-1-kes0xa6e5…28a0 | Yes | 58 | 19.0¢ | $13 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 12 | 52.0¢ | $10 | — |
| KG0080xb7c0…8ef2 | No | 12 | 60.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 40 | 23.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 40 | 40.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 10 | 76.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 60.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| rasvp0x6a60…ea7d | No | 8 | 39.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.06 per $100 · 552 bets |
| ilmonstro0x94ba…b0d6 | Yes | 29 | 44.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 27 | 22.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 7 | 78.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 23 | 22.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 32.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 537 bets |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 5 | 79.0¢ | $4 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 16 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| dbgd0x9536…1788 | No | 4 | 56.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | 14 | 23.5¢ | $3 | — |
| nennou0x43cf…88fa | Yes | 13 | 30.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ogog850x37f0…3062 | No | 3 | 56.0¢ | $2 | — |
| frso0x390f…818b | No | 3 | 56.0¢ | $2 | — |
| hsjd0xa95a…cdf8 | Yes | 10 | 45.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe68b…a259 | Yes | 10 | 40.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 8 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,812 bets |
| 0x1828…5bcc | No | 1 | 72.7¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 73.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 5 | 36.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 5 | 39.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 4 | 29.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1b9c…aa50 | No | 1 | 62.0¢ | $1 | — |
| QUUN0x0f99…6734 | Yes | 3 | 40.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 3 | 44.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 14,414 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 2 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 2 | 22.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 0 | 57.1¢ | $0 | — |
| romanew-1-new0x7438…b741 | Yes | 1 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x8a63bE6F97A1dC4E83f5B2A7C19D4E60x8a63…1c02 | Yes | 0 | 39.9¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| ramc20050x57a8…d092 | No | 0 | 61.8¢ | $0 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| xSundancer0xfdc3…f14e | No | 0 | 43.2¢ | $0 | — |
| captain-banana0xc291…976a | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| arielabadi9910x42f3…234b | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | New25 settled bets |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | Yes | 0 | 52.9¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 0 | 32.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.