Market · 8 of 22 outcomes
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf0f8…fcf6 | No | 103 | 96.8¢ | $102 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 322 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 87 | 99.0¢ | $86 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| Ajjooli0x0404…8353 | Yes | 6,228 | 2.2¢ | $62 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 299 bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 38 | 98.9¢ | $38 | — |
| Houle0x3056…c0b2 | No | 35 | 70.0¢ | $35 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,000 | 4.5¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 2,816 | 1.4¢ | $28 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 27 | 90.8¢ | $27 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,438 | 1.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 1,423 | 1.1¢ | $14 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.3¢ | $12 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 10 | 98.3¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 990 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 857 | 4.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| meteortrex0x4c99…6efb | Yes | 586 | 6.0¢ | $6 | New56 settled bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 6 | 99.2¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 530 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| CDReves0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | 509 | 5.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 5 | 98.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.08 per $100 · 315 bets |
| pepepepo0x790c…5f9c | Yes | 500 | 5.0¢ | $5 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 437 | 4.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 4 | 94.8¢ | $4 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 390 | 4.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 4 | 97.2¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 50,803 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 306 | 6.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 257 | 4.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| marucho760x8bc2…fae1 | Yes | 233 | 4.3¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 188 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,932 bets |
| 0x60a5…f52e | Yes | 176 | 1.7¢ | $2 | — |
| aneale0140x1701…466c | Yes | 154 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| MrGrunbaum0xaf1f…9dc5 | Yes | 154 | 7.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 134 | 4.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 104 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.0x2200…474f | Yes | 100 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 95 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 87 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,601 bets |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 71 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.65 per $100 · 1,716 bets |
| King0110xf18d…42ed | Yes | 56 | 3.6¢ | $1 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 50 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| Casadepapel0x2ae2…8b8f | Yes | 42 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 36 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Lopetra0x6903…732e | Yes | 33 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| YanhuanEric0xb793…bae4 | Yes | 33 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 892 bets |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 24 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| siffy0xb7c7…b3bb | Yes | 24 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lottonakamoto0x2884…d0c3 | Yes | 10 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 990 bets |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Freedom-BY0xcc7c…1d18 | Yes | 8 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 725 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 6 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| 0xd011…e928 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xadb5…e421 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,921 bets |
| brightKong0x1d5b…797b | Yes | 0 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.