Market · 48 of 71 outcomes
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 1,027 | 95.2¢ | $995 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 373 | 94.8¢ | $361 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 6,282 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 208 | 94.0¢ | $201 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 90 | 95.0¢ | $87 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| koshbaby0x9f80…ea2d | No | 20 | 95.3¢ | $19 | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 197 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 16 | 97.9¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,006 bets |
| tonton100x7fc3…46f9 | Yes | 384 | 5.2¢ | $12 | — |
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | No | 10 | 94.1¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 203 | 4.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 155 | 4.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 4 | 92.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.62 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 100 | 4.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 3 | 92.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,747 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 69 | 4.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 63 | 1.9¢ | $2 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 40 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 40 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| 0x38e4…80c7 | Yes | 23 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4154…af17 | Yes | 23 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xce77…2630 | Yes | 23 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1de9…f843 | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4432…29a6 | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x531f…0bb4 | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6a2c…b9f4 | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfbe1…4290 | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2422…3268 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x69d0…ea9f | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x712c…ebc0 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x779c…1048 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7c2b…594f | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x89e6…56f5 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc097…6b3b | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0db7…033c | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2f16…d74f | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x47a0…746e | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x868f…6e09 | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7ff…04b3 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc8d7…af04 | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf0e6…bfb5 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x00ea…970c | Yes | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0141…1d08 | Yes | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4532…acc8 | Yes | 19 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 19 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093 bets |
| 0xae6f…f327 | Yes | 18 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc9cf…abcf | Yes | 18 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5362…6790 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfdcc…2bf4 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| clausemaster0x9b68…b64b | Yes | 16 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xab0f…af12 | Yes | 14 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc5…d2f7 | Yes | 13 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0x8af2…a53e | Yes | 8 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 7 | 2.4¢ | $0 | New89 settled bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 92.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,825 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 4 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 4 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| MartinaPampas0xfbf2…887d | Yes | 3 | 4.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x61a8…33f9 | Yes | 2 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3efc…9da9 | Yes | 1 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Yes | 1 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.45 per $100 · 1,279 bets |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | No | 0 | 93.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.