Market · 28 of 46 outcomes
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DontTrustMe0x0403…a7ee | No | 1,384 | 86.8¢ | $1.3K | Proven+$26.89 per $100 · 115 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 430 | 89.4¢ | $405 | New69 settled bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 136 | 93.1¢ | $128 | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 160a0xb819…69da | No | 120 | 92.0¢ | $113 | — |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 100 | 91.0¢ | $94 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 1,000 | 10.7¢ | $58 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | No | 60 | 89.0¢ | $57 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 58 | 95.6¢ | $55 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 51 | 93.7¢ | $48 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 360 | 8.2¢ | $21 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| sushilord0xe6d4…22da | No | 22 | 92.5¢ | $20 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 217 | 10.4¢ | $13 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| AnonymeD0xced9…4e81 | No | 13 | 87.1¢ | $12 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 192 | 11.4¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| weshmaggle0xf973…f6e5 | Yes | 175 | 8.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 94.2¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 1,674 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 6 | 91.3¢ | $6 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 96 | 3.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,507 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 50 | 2.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 50 | 3.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 50 | 16.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 47 | 12.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,058 bets |
| 0xad48…3c41 | Yes | 27 | 11.4¢ | $2 | — |
| YesManLucky380x91e2…3c51 | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7f78…657f | Yes | 16 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe750…4850 | Yes | 15 | 15.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 14 | 11.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| pxb96v3clwti0xedd8…b939 | Yes | 14 | 11.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd5ba…258c | Yes | 12 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 10 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7b21…12cb | Yes | 10 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd2f2…2f05 | Yes | 9 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 9 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 42ds0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | Yes | 5 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.63 per $100 · 2,089 bets |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | 4 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 2 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,183 bets |
| walletBBB0xa012…2af7 | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| meow-1230x0739…aba8 | No | 0 | 86.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 0 | 15.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x1301…2f0a | Yes | 0 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.91 per $100 · 4,720 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.