Market · 8 of 15 outcomes
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 | No | 280 | 92.6¢ | $263 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | No | 141 | 91.1¢ | $132 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 50 | 92.3¢ | $47 | New69 settled bets |
| heyocopytraders0x37b0…3646 | No | 48 | 40.0¢ | $45 | — |
| zzaazzoo0x042d…0720 | No | 35 | 91.3¢ | $33 | Positive+$3.05 per $100 · 526 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 362 | 7.5¢ | $22 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| mdgc0xdc3f…f038 | No | 16 | 53.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Pikassiette0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | New0 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 70 | 8.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 9.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 40 | 61.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| BasileEmperor0x74dc…2762 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xaaa0…dea3 | Yes | 13 | 76.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.