Market · 8 of 19 outcomes
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V1nch0u0xf0f8…325f | No | 3,358 | 94.0¢ | $3.12K | Break-even−$0.37 per $100 · 9,445 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 2,948 | 95.6¢ | $2.74K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| Socialista0xfa01…f0a7 | No | 512 | 93.8¢ | $475 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 7,515 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 341 | 95.1¢ | $316 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| molly-rabby0x663f…bb92 | No | 333 | 94.0¢ | $309 | — |
| VGR220x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | 3,204 | 5.0¢ | $229 | Positive+$5.90 per $100 · 3,100 bets |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $186 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | No | 166 | 90.6¢ | $154 | — |
| Chonchitoooo0xd5a8…9793 | No | 157 | 93.0¢ | $146 | — |
| zaruen0xa3d3…ba8c | Yes | 1,741 | 6.2¢ | $124 | — |
| lakatosnapoleon0x7957…ddbc | No | 125 | 93.4¢ | $116 | — |
| Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14 | Yes | 1,111 | 6.1¢ | $79 | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 2,393 bets |
| Tonymountaina0xed8b…7954 | No | 77 | 91.1¢ | $72 | — |
| parpri0x3b60…cb42 | Yes | 769 | 6.6¢ | $55 | — |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 58 | 88.4¢ | $54 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| regregr0xcbe2…b059 | No | 52 | 96.2¢ | $48 | — |
| vadret0xe6d0…5b15 | No | 52 | 96.2¢ | $48 | — |
| justagrosshopper0x9269…2900 | No | 40 | 94.4¢ | $37 | — |
| draken060x3228…5c2e | Yes | 500 | 6.7¢ | $36 | — |
| milkthedip0x4eee…5841 | No | 34 | 92.3¢ | $31 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 406 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 93.3¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| aaronjmars0xd398…f00b | Yes | 274 | 7.6¢ | $20 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 94.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| roronoagako12050x7f59…7d29 | Yes | 250 | 12.5¢ | $18 | — |
| TigerManagmentSports0x01f1…5a22 | No | 18 | 94.3¢ | $17 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 140 | 6.8¢ | $10 | — |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 11 | 93.3¢ | $10 | — |
| Bergitrus0x1a24…ea88 | Yes | 115 | 4.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xc1bd…6b00 | Yes | 112 | 8.0¢ | $8 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 102 | 5.1¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| KyksBallonDor0xe09c…b2e8 | Yes | 95 | 6.8¢ | $7 | — |
| People440x5cfd…6b4f | Yes | 73 | 7.2¢ | $5 | — |
| l5wrGYrLGv0xb5c4…cb3b | No | 5 | 96.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 95.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 5 | 95.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 50 | 4.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| brianmok0x4108…17b1 | No | 3 | 96.2¢ | $3 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 3 | 90.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| django0x0xd275…1377 | No | 2 | 97.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Shnatiuk080xaec2…7bbf | Yes | 15 | 6.8¢ | $1 | — |
| bobbet0x755d…6acc | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $1 | — |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 1 | 90.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 367 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 2 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 22,018 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 2 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | — |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 6.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.