Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buvtydt0x2815…316d | No | 580 | 99.7¢ | $576 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 448 | 99.9¢ | $445 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 400 | 99.8¢ | $397 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| facaifalu0x8ed2…e2c7 | No | 364 | 99.4¢ | $361 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 23,704 | 0.2¢ | $166 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| uusdchgjs0x7c0f…5a8c | No | 111 | 99.6¢ | $111 | — |
| v2pm0x819f…ea75 | No | 110 | 99.5¢ | $109 | — |
| dadba0xccc0…61dc | No | 110 | 99.3¢ | $109 | — |
| 0x63d1…4370 | No | 106 | 99.4¢ | $105 | — |
| ndfxvxcw0xcc29…68a1 | No | 104 | 99.6¢ | $104 | — |
| Rex1s0x2a11…53e6 | No | 102 | 99.7¢ | $101 | — |
| hfggbdf0x07f1…fa1e | No | 101 | 99.4¢ | $100 | — |
| wys490x117e…f6bd | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $99 | — |
| yuqione0x13e2…9c39 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $99 | — |
| jinone0x1b03…14c1 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $99 | — |
| qingqing0x8050…d9c5 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $99 | — |
| onemei0xcbd3…5ac4 | No | 99 | 99.3¢ | $98 | — |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 12,709 | 1.1¢ | $89 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 87 | 99.4¢ | $86 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 11,526 | 0.1¢ | $81 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| yfgdfvfdbfg0xf5a0…9b0e | No | 78 | 99.6¢ | $78 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 10,779 | 0.5¢ | $75 | — |
| outyyr0x2970…dcda | No | 75 | 99.4¢ | $75 | — |
| nishsan0xbb89…d08c | No | 65 | 99.3¢ | $65 | — |
| Paul.Dirac0x2a57…1f06 | Yes | 9,018 | 0.3¢ | $63 | — |
| thbvfdh0xf43c…149c | No | 61 | 99.4¢ | $61 | — |
| nanan0070x87f7…6036 | No | 59 | 99.4¢ | $59 | — |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 7,632 | 0.9¢ | $53 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| sasfvdsb0x8f79…52ec | No | 53 | 99.6¢ | $53 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 7,343 | 3.1¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| otytedcj0x74d1…cce9 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| 42dgfda30x32f0…2c45 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| tothemoonni0xc34f…d514 | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 6,800 | 0.3¢ | $48 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| hvan0xe8d7…afea | No | 43 | 97.1¢ | $43 | — |
| justT0xbfe2…1913 | Yes | 6,062 | 0.7¢ | $42 | New39 settled bets |
| petehegseth0xda76…0aa2 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.2¢ | $42 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 40 | 99.0¢ | $40 | — |
| SupremeBagholder0xa10c…3997 | Yes | 5,584 | 0.6¢ | $39 | — |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 5,555 | 1.4¢ | $39 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| frek20240x92ba…9951 | No | 35 | 99.8¢ | $35 | — |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | Yes | 4,700 | 0.6¢ | $33 | — |
| bdfrgarf0xe742…6809 | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x4b62…771d | No | 30 | 99.7¢ | $30 | — |
| Selfmadebongos0x70f7…13de | Yes | 4,190 | 0.8¢ | $29 | — |
| mankolian0x0325…b21a | No | 28 | 98.8¢ | $28 | — |
| jujul0x5e3a…1d15 | No | 28 | 99.4¢ | $28 | — |
| axcautyi0x7a81…6857 | No | 27 | 98.8¢ | $27 | — |
| T05AI0x9f46…33b1 | No | 25 | 98.6¢ | $25 | — |
| NeilCorman0xabc5…79bb | No | 24 | 98.7¢ | $24 | — |
| M029820xcf9f…d960 | No | 24 | 98.9¢ | $24 | — |
| LeoNomardi0xf35c…3fe0 | No | 23 | 98.6¢ | $23 | — |
| olcandaavis0x647f…eb8b | No | 23 | 98.8¢ | $23 | — |
| MarioVendutti0xab88…bc1c | No | 23 | 98.5¢ | $23 | — |
| MartinYoung0x52a2…a184 | No | 22 | 98.9¢ | $22 | — |
| kingofresidence0xf2f7…b3bf | No | 22 | 98.6¢ | $22 | — |
| Ohyeahohno0x197f…15ec | Yes | 3,027 | 0.5¢ | $21 | — |
| KyleGordon0x8b81…4d2f | No | 21 | 98.8¢ | $21 | — |
| halele0x71e9…c91f | No | 18 | 99.4¢ | $18 | — |
| kidily0xd63b…fb61 | No | 18 | 99.4¢ | $18 | — |
| banestra0x2f65…50c1 | Yes | 2,434 | 0.4¢ | $17 | — |
| mangaloes0xa043…3e9e | Yes | 2,386 | 0.4¢ | $17 | — |
| Omniscient0x156b…e0fb | Yes | 2,250 | 0.4¢ | $16 | — |
| Kati.shi0x61f0…529e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$4.70 per $100 · 261 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,873 | 0.4¢ | $13 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Pogranic0x5f5e…49b9 | No | 13 | 99.7¢ | $13 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 1,837 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | Yes | 1,760 | 0.4¢ | $12 | — |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | Yes | 1,636 | 1.2¢ | $11 | — |
| GamblerGalore0xd3e8…ec57 | Yes | 1,620 | 1.0¢ | $11 | — |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 1,619 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| memele0x3cb9…74f7 | No | 11 | 99.4¢ | $11 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 1,518 | 0.5¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5825…f249 | No | 11 | 99.6¢ | $11 | — |
| lightsout9120x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.6¢ | $10 | — |
| MasonBenson7970x1613…3d2c | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| EdwinConner1460xaa72…113d | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | Yes | 1,209 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,200 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,193 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,104 | 1.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 1,038 | 0.3¢ | $7 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| 0x7c96…e658 | Yes | 1,016 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| FortunaFelix0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | 731 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9953…51f6 | Yes | 727 | 1.1¢ | $5 | — |
| vtx0x6718…e623 | Yes | 720 | 1.4¢ | $5 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 695 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 663 | 1.5¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| M88800x44da…e225 | Yes | 633 | 0.5¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 159 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 595 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0x9a71…3020 | Yes | 583 | 0.4¢ | $4 | — |
| Dmalka0xf057…6ec2 | Yes | 542 | 1.9¢ | $4 | — |
| johnthek0xd925…f36f | Yes | 517 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| normieholocaust0x7fe7…dbd6 | Yes | 513 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x394e…ab6e | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 500 | 1.3¢ | $3 | — |
| pavook0x11df…5fee | Yes | 482 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 441 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 423 | 1.5¢ | $3 | — |
| ailas0x6b3c…e1f0 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.