Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,291 | 96.6¢ | $1.26K | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 121 | 99.5¢ | $118 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 3,324 | 3.1¢ | $86 | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| Hannah-Montana0x521b…db60 | Yes | 1,795 | 1.4¢ | $47 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 1,391 | 0.4¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x7c96…e658 | Yes | 1,006 | 1.8¢ | $26 | — |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | Yes | 1,000 | 1.5¢ | $26 | — |
| justT0xbfe2…1913 | Yes | 883 | 1.6¢ | $23 | New39 settled bets |
| yanashubina0x50db…4578 | No | 23 | 98.7¢ | $23 | New49 settled bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 706 | 0.7¢ | $18 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 702 | 2.9¢ | $18 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 690 | 2.9¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| lightsout9120x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | 500 | 0.6¢ | $13 | — |
| normieholocaust0x7fe7…dbd6 | Yes | 500 | 0.7¢ | $13 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 499 | 0.5¢ | $13 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 450 | 2.9¢ | $12 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 401 | 2.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| mememememe0x7997…0b06 | No | 10 | 97.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x87c8…8944 | No | 10 | 98.1¢ | $10 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 259 | 2.9¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | 250 | 2.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 225 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| crypto-futur30x31cc…ea6b | No | 5 | 99.5¢ | $5 | New47 settled bets |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 166 | 2.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | 161 | 2.4¢ | $4 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 4 | 97.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 140 | 2.4¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| hallways0xa989…bb4d | Yes | 123 | 4.2¢ | $3 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 109 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| Slowbucks0x312a…66b8 | Yes | 100 | 2.1¢ | $3 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 86 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| superaiapi0xd04e…122e | Yes | 40 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mit1200x71db…aba8 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | 33 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 31 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| sand10x34d0…264e | Yes | 20 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 19 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,760 bets |
| AndrewDelph0x86d0…2cb5 | Yes | 10 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 8 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.