Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 40 | 98.5¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 696 | 2.8¢ | $28 | Proven+$8.70 per $100 · 4,101 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 623 | 2.4¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 21 | 96.5¢ | $20 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 429 | 3.1¢ | $17 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| vtx0x6718…e623 | Yes | 400 | 3.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$11.91 per $100 · 142 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| tywwetherididi0x7f43…f942 | Yes | 294 | 2.3¢ | $12 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 210 | 2.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 190 | 2.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 146 | 1.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Ohyeahohno0x197f…15ec | Yes | 111 | 6.2¢ | $4 | — |
| iminmymomscarbroombroom0x2eae…8d29 | Yes | 79 | 6.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 59 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 50 | 2.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | 46 | 11.2¢ | $2 | — |
| zhencangmeng010620x9b7a…c90c | No | 2 | 97.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x57cc…9af7 | No | 2 | 98.9¢ | $2 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 41 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| chenjianchao017b0x611e…10dd | No | 2 | 98.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | Yes | 33 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| iw11en6420xa252…2bb5 | No | 1 | 98.7¢ | $1 | — |
| zhuzhenting173880x7c7e…582c | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0e26…6cbe | No | 1 | 98.7¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 21 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 19 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 17 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 15 | 6.9¢ | $1 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 15 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 13 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| superaiapi0xd04e…122e | Yes | 13 | 9.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 2 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.