Market · 3 of 21 outcomes
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jingzong0x31b0…b6fa | No | 238 | 84.7¢ | $219 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 160 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 546 | 6.4¢ | $42 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 462 | 22.8¢ | $36 | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $32 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 324 | 5.5¢ | $25 | — |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 20 | 97.9¢ | $19 | — |
| imagineall0x5ba8…2bdf | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $18 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 75.8¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 199 | 4.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | Yes | 120 | 2.6¢ | $9 | — |
| AboveLookUp0xe720…137c | Yes | 93 | 9.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 90 | 16.2¢ | $7 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 60 | 16.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 5 | 66.9¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 53 | 21.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 50 | 2.2¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 33 | 13.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 25 | 2.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 3.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 14 | 15.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 12 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 11 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| agbob0xaff1…141e | Yes | 10 | 26.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$13.12 per $100 · 465 bets |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | Yes | 9 | 24.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hackingthebettingmarkets0x78f3…9529 | Yes | 7 | 67.9¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 4 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0x13e1…0805 | Yes | 2 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 96.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 97.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,601 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.