Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1ce4…fbd1 | Yes | 133,434 | 99.0¢ | $132K | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 132 bets |
| Patek1410x38a2…0b48 | Yes | 97,705 | 88.7¢ | $96.9K | New0 settled bets |
| Ketabi0xbd6a…8d0e | Yes | 55,775 | 78.9¢ | $55.3K | — |
| 08AF0x4900…4a72 | Yes | 18,745 | 87.4¢ | $18.6K | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 857 bets |
| 0x4de7…1982 | Yes | 12,211 | 74.6¢ | $12.1K | New59 settled bets |
| 47513460x6dd6…f5f4 | Yes | 6,963 | 89.3¢ | $6.9K | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 3,383 bets |
| celery-cactus0x0c72…a042 | Yes | 6,096 | 73.9¢ | $6.04K | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 194 bets |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | Yes | 4,000 | 41.0¢ | $3.97K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| musicmang0xdd9c…2a50 | Yes | 3,809 | 42.2¢ | $3.78K | — |
| ImBruceWayne0x0097…4a1d | Yes | 3,653 | 85.4¢ | $3.62K | Proven+$53.98 per $100 · 416 bets |
| AJM960x85b8…6b6a | Yes | 3,572 | 62.2¢ | $3.54K | Proven+$3.86 per $100 · 468 bets |
| akile0x67b1…f3e8 | Yes | 3,487 | 71.7¢ | $3.46K | New4 settled bets |
| rwcoffee0xd8c1…16c0 | Yes | 3,029 | 77.9¢ | $3K | Losing−$18.99 per $100 · 605 bets |
| Jjw0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | 2,663 | 96.5¢ | $2.64K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,249 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,357 | 84.7¢ | $2.34K | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 225,331+ bets · updating |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Yes | 2,241 | 93.3¢ | $2.22K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| mm4ker0x8c57…f939 | Yes | 2,226 | 74.4¢ | $2.21K | Proven+$4.56 per $100 · 367 bets |
| edisonyang0x5157…aa2c | Yes | 2,204 | 68.5¢ | $2.19K | Losing−$10.17 per $100 · 229 bets |
| merch0x45e8…cc6c | Yes | 2,158 | 75.2¢ | $2.14K | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 309 bets |
| toasun0xf56c…e783 | Yes | 2,100 | 95.2¢ | $2.08K | — |
| WildCapital0x3a47…5533 | Yes | 2,047 | 46.9¢ | $2.03K | New81 settled bets |
| 0x3ec4…d553 | Yes | 2,000 | 79.2¢ | $1.98K | New87 settled bets |
| avatar120x6ab8…ae32 | Yes | 2,000 | 65.6¢ | $1.98K | Losing−$1.37 per $100 · 265 bets |
| Selasito0x171c…f0a0 | Yes | 1,988 | 72.3¢ | $1.97K | Losing−$17.66 per $100 · 115 bets |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 1,599 | 46.4¢ | $1.59K | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| 0x6077…3dc0 | Yes | 1,568 | 63.8¢ | $1.55K | Losing−$3.06 per $100 · 1,623 bets |
| Jmptrsn0x9121…d73f | Yes | 1,430 | 66.8¢ | $1.42K | — |
| 0xb534…fc8d | Yes | 1,387 | 44.3¢ | $1.37K | — |
| Clone780x61d3…fd3b | Yes | 1,282 | 78.0¢ | $1.27K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 338 bets |
| 0x8579…a106 | Yes | 1,154 | 88.1¢ | $1.14K | New11 settled bets |
| hedgevaultmainnet10x9f41…8f27 | Yes | 1,025 | 96.0¢ | $1.02K | Losing−$4.10 per $100 · 2,677 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 938 | 92.5¢ | $930 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| Nibiru20x0f58…0ff0 | No | 96,161 | 1.0¢ | $817 | Proven+$68.24 per $100 · 902 bets |
| 0x9edd…6fe3 | Yes | 810 | 69.9¢ | $803 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 768 | 83.2¢ | $762 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 735 | 96.2¢ | $729 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| ilCiava0xd33c…40f1 | Yes | 721 | 55.6¢ | $715 | — |
| bot14625360x8b11…fcbc | Yes | 703 | 71.3¢ | $697 | New37 settled bets |
| AhHoi0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | 700 | 93.1¢ | $694 | Proven+$5.75 per $100 · 239 bets |
| Kiralight84670x89b9…63bb | Yes | 670 | 97.1¢ | $664 | — |
| c00kedforever0xb39a…abed | Yes | 666 | 79.5¢ | $660 | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 438 bets |
| outrun16000x9ad0…a9d8 | Yes | 620 | 38.9¢ | $615 | — |
| TenChuSama0xe577…6c42 | Yes | 618 | 89.1¢ | $613 | — |
| 0x5552…f3df | Yes | 607 | 64.0¢ | $602 | New1 settled bet |
| deepy170xa532…114b | Yes | 568 | 76.0¢ | $563 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 521 | 8.3¢ | $517 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| Orangeless0x5606…9bd7 | Yes | 516 | 98.5¢ | $511 | Losing−$1.40 per $100 · 330 bets |
| Jopol0xfde5…676c | Yes | 500 | 69.8¢ | $496 | — |
| MTK30000x3635…403e | Yes | 489 | 75.5¢ | $485 | New28 settled bets |
| 0xf0ee…7d14 | Yes | 461 | 86.8¢ | $457 | — |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | 437 | 94.5¢ | $433 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | No | 12,972 | 1.6¢ | $110 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,534 bets |
| TradingWave0xf49c…9786 | No | 10,784 | 25.2¢ | $92 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 396 bets |
| DickTurbin0xb6be…fcfe | No | 5,223 | 24.3¢ | $44 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 5,486 bets |
| GeorgeMatrix0x8815…438d | No | 3,435 | 17.9¢ | $29 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 3,247 | 15.1¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| El-Yacare0xa49f…6b2e | No | 3,173 | 59.2¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xed34…8780 | No | 2,482 | 1.5¢ | $21 | — |
| patel12140x7b13…0440 | No | 2,366 | 22.8¢ | $20 | Proven+$12.48 per $100 · 101 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 1,959 | 9.4¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| bigdicknick0xe411…04c5 | No | 1,838 | 40.3¢ | $16 | — |
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | No | 1,659 | 14.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 17,557 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 1,302 | 3.7¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 1,200 | 1.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xa24d…6f2a | No | 1,047 | 19.6¢ | $9 | — |
| Jest550xd34b…0004 | No | 734 | 54.1¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.67 per $100 · 2,686 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 725 | 9.8¢ | $6 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | No | 599 | 29.5¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| ebobc0x35e4…5bbc | No | 500 | 61.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 724 bets |
| Frankinjo0x3847…5c87 | No | 500 | 58.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.45 per $100 · 100 bets |
| MrFranko0xf6b1…aaad | No | 500 | 35.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x67a1…3175 | No | 500 | 22.0¢ | $4 | New7 settled bets |
| LLL90280xd501…52dd | No | 361 | 27.7¢ | $3 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | No | 360 | 36.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 304 | 8.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| CryptoBull690x6dde…b8f1 | No | 300 | 59.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.13 per $100 · 163 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 300 | 58.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 296 | 1.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 281 | 26.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 274 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 66,345 bets |
| gianluk230xe5ab…2f52 | No | 270 | 44.5¢ | $2 | — |
| gfj6757ruy0x8be7…8f7b | No | 251 | 10.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Chowda0x7415…fae8 | No | 238 | 63.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.61 per $100 · 417 bets |
| AintNoWay0x2388…24fd | No | 231 | 6.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.10 per $100 · 137 bets |
| 0x6702…ff45 | No | 218 | 1.6¢ | $2 | Proven+$4.77 per $100 · 881 bets |
| 0x39ac…5e32 | No | 205 | 24.2¢ | $2 | New27 settled bets |
| KeV1800xaeed…074b | No | 201 | 32.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 200 | 46.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 200 | 62.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | No | 193 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| panda8880x11e8…4323 | No | 185 | 27.0¢ | $2 | New26 settled bets |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5 | No | 181 | 17.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | No | 180 | 56.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 174 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| fastishlife0x4513…3449 | No | 168 | 59.9¢ | $1 | New87 settled bets |
| KOGamble62730x2285…2aea | No | 155 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.76 per $100 · 2,733 bets |
| probablywronglol0xd5d3…a77b | No | 147 | 68.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x052e…46c7 | No | 146 | 21.0¢ | $1 | New33 settled bets |
| thestriker1170x29c3…cc88 | No | 146 | 67.2¢ | $1 | New31 settled bets |
| 0x19aa…c089 | No | 140 | 16.7¢ | $1 | New50 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.