Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El-Yacare0xa49f…6b2e | No | 8,598 | 66.8¢ | $8.59K | — |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | No | 1,578 | 73.5¢ | $1.58K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| MeltersFTW0xc3ce…f646 | No | 500 | 80.0¢ | $499 | Proven+$5.85 per $100 · 205 bets |
| 08AF0x4900…4a72 | No | 436 | 95.7¢ | $436 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 857 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 356 | 99.1¢ | $355 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| CryptoBull690x6dde…b8f1 | No | 300 | 82.0¢ | $300 | Losing−$9.13 per $100 · 163 bets |
| Sviestmaize0xe51e…1a85 | No | 294 | 77.0¢ | $294 | — |
| 0x2e5f…ee48 | No | 175 | 99.7¢ | $174 | New29 settled bets |
| probablywronglol0xd5d3…a77b | No | 137 | 73.0¢ | $137 | — |
| 0x947e…2cd6 | No | 124 | 99.6¢ | $123 | — |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 100 | 93.2¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 90 | 96.2¢ | $90 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 70 | 95.8¢ | $70 | — |
| DickTurbin0xb6be…fcfe | Yes | 39,752 | 13.8¢ | $60 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 5,486 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 59 | 76.3¢ | $59 | — |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | No | 58 | 94.8¢ | $58 | — |
| ContrarianLong0x36bf…2864 | Yes | 24,956 | 0.6¢ | $37 | Positive+$13.24 per $100 · 4,426 bets |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 34 | 99.2¢ | $34 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| mickeyB0x58c8…0300 | No | 30 | 57.8¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 19,448 bets |
| Batatabet0x0889…45a9 | No | 28 | 99.7¢ | $28 | New3 settled bets |
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | Yes | 16,100 | 1.5¢ | $24 | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| bdr20xb54a…c622 | Yes | 14,799 | 1.8¢ | $22 | — |
| 0xaf00…7b86 | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Anarchycapitalism0xa648…fb47 | Yes | 13,252 | 24.2¢ | $20 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 12,874 | 1.9¢ | $19 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| gmfi0x42d3…d047 | No | 18 | 92.1¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 208 bets |
| Borisruss0xc24e…ee90 | Yes | 11,566 | 33.5¢ | $17 | New18 settled bets |
| Droopy0xfdb2…634d | No | 15 | 67.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Tobias19090xe394…289c | Yes | 8,302 | 9.9¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 1,326 bets |
| 0xe9f3…c28d | No | 11 | 93.1¢ | $11 | — |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 10 | 67.1¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 20,323 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 10 | 84.2¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| oterapio0x5ff4…9691 | Yes | 5,742 | 7.0¢ | $9 | New8 settled bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 5,630 | 8.3¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| TradingWave0xf49c…9786 | Yes | 5,389 | 11.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 396 bets |
| 0x38a5…138b | Yes | 5,267 | 1.4¢ | $8 | New52 settled bets |
| Domerina0xf4ad…d00b | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $8 | — |
| melkstam0x7664…95c0 | No | 7 | 68.4¢ | $7 | New23 settled bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 4,353 | 2.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| 0x3902…5245 | No | 7 | 92.1¢ | $7 | New96 settled bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 4,241 | 1.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| Tumors0x80fc…d404 | No | 6 | 79.0¢ | $6 | — |
| AureaLibertas0xbfe0…e697 | Yes | 4,048 | 27.2¢ | $6 | — |
| JFKunst0x295b…2e44 | No | 6 | 79.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$24.06 per $100 · 327 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 3,231 | 7.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| korETHja0xb5f6…adc3 | Yes | 3,174 | 3.9¢ | $5 | — |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 5 | 89.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| Jest550xd34b…0004 | Yes | 2,765 | 27.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$5.67 per $100 · 2,686 bets |
| asdasdadasdasd0xf756…29e6 | Yes | 2,705 | 9.9¢ | $4 | — |
| ilCiava0xd33c…40f1 | Yes | 2,604 | 8.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 2,425 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 2,283 | 20.4¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| Badnana0xb633…0dd5 | Yes | 2,276 | 17.8¢ | $3 | — |
| spyr00x6cff…45ac | Yes | 2,104 | 1.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 339 bets |
| g341210x3c4a…0be9 | No | 3 | 65.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 316 bets |
| DemonP0x6957…d874 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$28.92 per $100 · 164 bets |
| manualMountain0x2586…b659 | No | 3 | 93.4¢ | $3 | New46 settled bets |
| gather.often.age0x3a95…03f3 | No | 3 | 93.0¢ | $3 | New36 settled bets |
| swap-side0x83b0…eef8 | No | 3 | 96.2¢ | $3 | — |
| BTCisaHarshMistress0xbdd1…0c4f | Yes | 1,941 | 3.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 3,375 bets |
| bigdicknick0xe411…04c5 | Yes | 1,900 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2843…0ac5 | Yes | 1,832 | 11.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.43 per $100 · 842 bets |
| 0xeddd…58e8 | Yes | 1,763 | 4.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,670 | 4.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| 0x2793…2e2a | Yes | 1,650 | 2.1¢ | $2 | New0 settled bets |
| g1111110x1291…ee23 | No | 2 | 84.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| 66g660x6dea…ec4d | No | 2 | 84.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 343 bets |
| 0x8329…6f6e | No | 2 | 87.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ZeroGreen0x8e93…7fa4 | Yes | 1,508 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| panda8880x11e8…4323 | Yes | 1,472 | 20.4¢ | $2 | New26 settled bets |
| helloMahnn670xc178…fcf8 | Yes | 1,450 | 14.1¢ | $2 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 2 | 94.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| VeVeCZ0x4e8d…78f6 | No | 2 | 97.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 130 bets |
| 0x00b8…43fd | Yes | 1,366 | 7.3¢ | $2 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 1,352 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| goldisoverrated0x1617…d790 | No | 2 | 98.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 3,857 bets |
| LAPULGAA0xc6cc…c48a | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | Yes | 1,326 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 409 bets |
| LaFormula0xe2ed…14f2 | Yes | 1,315 | 26.0¢ | $2 | — |
| marcmedina0xaac0…4bc7 | Yes | 1,287 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | Yes | 1,233 | 4.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.95 per $100 · 2,399 bets |
| Jan7770xb8e3…aaf2 | Yes | 1,190 | 19.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.69 per $100 · 210 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,101 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| laserjohnny0x30ee…a587 | Yes | 1,064 | 8.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.22 per $100 · 600 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,048 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| Wizaeee0xaf40…1fcb | No | 2 | 79.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x88c1…a7cb | Yes | 1,025 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe13c…1159 | Yes | 1,013 | 2.6¢ | $2 | — |
| isanali0x8a1b…3889 | No | 2 | 66.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Ivancberni870x6902…b2cd | Yes | 1,000 | 4.8¢ | $2 | New61 settled bets |
| Nipari0xd8a1…cada | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| antonMJ0xd180…9d31 | Yes | 923 | 13.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3d71…22e0 | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | New16 settled bets |
| Vegeboy0x0533…8acd | No | 1 | 91.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$14.02 per $100 · 892 bets |
| Zennitude0x2b3c…04ad | No | 1 | 92.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 375 bets |
| obolmaya0x9421…0c05 | No | 1 | 98.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ntcrpt0x82f7…da44 | No | 1 | 96.9¢ | $1 | — |
| scaleyd400x4a20…2d32 | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | New39 settled bets |
| MajoriT0x8c76…06ac | Yes | 56 | 23.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.69 per $100 · 470 bets |
| 0x50e8…3791 | Yes | 5 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 123 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.