Market · 2 of 6 outcomes
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El-Yacare0xa49f…6b2e | No | 19,361 | 75.6¢ | $19.1K | — |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | No | 11,577 | 98.8¢ | $11.4K | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 409 bets |
| MetamaskII0xe69d…a199 | No | 2,000 | 98.4¢ | $1.98K | New29 settled bets |
| 0x46ee…ae61 | Yes | 170,792 | 3.2¢ | $1.88K | Losing−$15.50 per $100 · 168 bets |
| R0ndog0x76dc…17b4 | No | 1,000 | 96.4¢ | $989 | Proven+$5.86 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| Facekini8880xfe10…95cb | No | 903 | 93.9¢ | $893 | — |
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | Yes | 72,574 | 1.0¢ | $798 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 17,557 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 53,417 | 1.0¢ | $588 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| KarlvonLupo0x49b6…a8ab | No | 544 | 96.0¢ | $538 | New88 settled bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 47,212 | 1.5¢ | $519 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| Legacy.crypto0x9dfb…e887 | No | 500 | 99.0¢ | $495 | — |
| emailpmailgmail0x5c5a…0296 | No | 451 | 97.1¢ | $446 | New37 settled bets |
| Mica10x8637…9657 | No | 338 | 74.0¢ | $334 | — |
| Brown-Tan0x628b…34ef | Yes | 27,788 | 2.3¢ | $306 | New0 settled bets |
| r2r2r2r20x9ab2…a2b7 | Yes | 24,376 | 10.1¢ | $268 | — |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 248 | 73.0¢ | $245 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| Plsgibmoneyniggnigg0x1737…4e0d | Yes | 21,500 | 2.5¢ | $236 | New26 settled bets |
| Get100x904f…50c6 | Yes | 20,811 | 3.5¢ | $229 | — |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | No | 226 | 97.5¢ | $223 | — |
| Brandon27010x3091…e6a1 | No | 221 | 99.5¢ | $219 | New54 settled bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 19,148 | 1.2¢ | $211 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| Peter15555155150x5883…c12e | No | 202 | 98.8¢ | $200 | New26 settled bets |
| Pansiew0xd60e…644d | No | 200 | 94.5¢ | $198 | — |
| Patrick4440xa6ae…d3af | No | 195 | 99.5¢ | $193 | — |
| sadgasd0x85bc…2148 | No | 168 | 99.6¢ | $167 | — |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | 166 | 94.7¢ | $164 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Yes | 14,418 | 0.9¢ | $159 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,534 bets |
| 0xd829…95f9 | Yes | 14,300 | 11.0¢ | $157 | — |
| dingguagua0x03eb…d4ba | Yes | 14,000 | 2.8¢ | $154 | Losing−$5.64 per $100 · 3,122 bets |
| DavidTrezeguet0xc88e…f3e1 | Yes | 13,911 | 18.5¢ | $153 | Losing−$1.07 per $100 · 651 bets |
| Rico28060xd21e…ca49 | Yes | 13,683 | 8.1¢ | $151 | — |
| 0x62c3…8ba8 | No | 148 | 85.0¢ | $147 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 13,110 | 2.5¢ | $144 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| 0xbf38…2bce | No | 135 | 99.7¢ | $133 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 12,037 | 1.8¢ | $132 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x0ea2…4a18 | No | 133 | 99.6¢ | $132 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x15f8…8ea1 | Yes | 11,844 | 25.2¢ | $130 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xac69…862d | No | 131 | 99.7¢ | $130 | — |
| 0xbb29…92f1 | No | 130 | 99.7¢ | $129 | — |
| powerWeman0xcfab…3152 | No | 129 | 97.2¢ | $127 | — |
| 0x00fc…7aff | No | 127 | 99.5¢ | $126 | New11 settled bets |
| DHTP-HTG0x203c…4591 | No | 127 | 79.0¢ | $125 | Losing−$5.17 per $100 · 129 bets |
| 0x1105…b4cf | No | 126 | 99.5¢ | $124 | New11 settled bets |
| 0xce87…be2f | No | 124 | 99.7¢ | $123 | — |
| 0x7891…b879 | No | 124 | 99.6¢ | $123 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x2c99…9716 | No | 122 | 99.4¢ | $121 | New16 settled bets |
| 0xed1c…aa05 | No | 122 | 99.4¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x5fc4…9a12 | No | 122 | 99.6¢ | $120 | New11 settled bets |
| bobcat10x2c1b…c86f | Yes | 10,898 | 22.7¢ | $120 | New10 settled bets |
| 0x29d0…4210 | No | 121 | 99.6¢ | $120 | New3 settled bets |
| 0xbffb…7ae4 | No | 118 | 99.5¢ | $117 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 116 | 93.5¢ | $115 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| Raed19900x8e29…9cf8 | Yes | 10,092 | 15.0¢ | $111 | — |
| Aaron68880xb01d…5a04 | No | 111 | 99.5¢ | $109 | — |
| 0x1fca…3cb3 | No | 102 | 99.5¢ | $101 | New12 settled bets |
| poolboy250xdb86…1a3a | No | 100 | 96.8¢ | $99 | — |
| AestusValueLab0xe370…58f2 | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $99 | — |
| 0x9d38…3bd3 | No | 99 | 99.6¢ | $98 | — |
| prout210x4b0a…3649 | No | 98 | 79.0¢ | $97 | New14 settled bets |
| swiper-hedge0x6b52…7f5e | Yes | 8,233 | 24.0¢ | $91 | New2 settled bets |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 8,202 | 0.4¢ | $90 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| OkieDokie0xf541…419d | Yes | 7,897 | 3.2¢ | $87 | — |
| Gr33d0x4b74…e8d7 | No | 83 | 98.4¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 4,685 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 7,359 | 0.5¢ | $81 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 7,340 | 1.3¢ | $81 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| 0xa6fe…8b90 | Yes | 6,916 | 1.8¢ | $76 | — |
| 0x5219…9781 | Yes | 6,726 | 1.5¢ | $74 | New89 settled bets |
| 0x274e…2ef8 | Yes | 6,701 | 5.1¢ | $74 | New0 settled bets |
| SubaTruba0xe899…a588 | Yes | 6,600 | 0.5¢ | $73 | — |
| ergfv0xafdf…991b | No | 73 | 93.7¢ | $72 | — |
| JPTGR1000x20d7…7f5c | Yes | 6,000 | 4.7¢ | $66 | New88 settled bets |
| 0xba60…a516 | Yes | 5,882 | 1.8¢ | $65 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 65 | 98.7¢ | $64 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| f191eF0xc102…642e | No | 60 | 80.0¢ | $59 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 5,380 | 0.7¢ | $59 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,931 bets |
| stavrog0x1d08…7571 | Yes | 5,266 | 4.7¢ | $58 | New57 settled bets |
| Jeffyx0xfd49…b383 | Yes | 5,150 | 2.5¢ | $57 | — |
| 0xc6ad…578f | Yes | 5,120 | 3.6¢ | $56 | — |
| effing0xc161…7f9a | Yes | 5,012 | 1.4¢ | $55 | — |
| AJ198519850x8c82…4e09 | Yes | 5,000 | 11.0¢ | $55 | Losing−$2.93 per $100 · 206 bets |
| Xertick0x6593…9d0e | Yes | 4,837 | 22.0¢ | $53 | New26 settled bets |
| Borisruss0xc24e…ee90 | Yes | 4,827 | 26.0¢ | $53 | New18 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 4,772 | 3.2¢ | $52 | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 225,331+ bets · updating |
| 0x50d8…d896 | Yes | 4,556 | 20.0¢ | $50 | New29 settled bets |
| 1245850x4e0c…733a | No | 50 | 99.7¢ | $49 | New12 settled bets |
| Timoti0x6105…21ee | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | — |
| Albertos10x95cb…f8f7 | No | 50 | 99.7¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xdc61…33c4 | Yes | 4,330 | 5.0¢ | $48 | — |
| BarryandLarrytradiing0x55b2…e941 | Yes | 4,296 | 6.0¢ | $47 | New26 settled bets |
| hydraaaa0xb0ee…128a | Yes | 4,080 | 2.5¢ | $45 | — |
| AquaJoko0x84c2…3a00 | Yes | 4,038 | 18.5¢ | $44 | Losing−$43.06 per $100 · 222 bets |
| Daniel270xfd47…1723 | Yes | 3,850 | 1.5¢ | $42 | — |
| 0x58c4…8552 | Yes | 3,761 | 6.8¢ | $41 | New1 settled bet |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 3,701 | 2.3¢ | $41 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| unsafetosay0xbf52…2daf | Yes | 3,640 | 5.8¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x89af…b447 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.8¢ | $38 | — |
| lilydogdf0xea7d…f00b | Yes | 3,450 | 2.9¢ | $38 | — |
| oh230x769b…ed95 | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x50e8…3791 | Yes | 4 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 123 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.