Market
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2b67…b814 | No | 14,097 | 24.7¢ | $11.6K | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | No | 4,860 | 53.9¢ | $4.01K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| RainIess0x4807…70ab | No | 4,529 | 83.9¢ | $3.74K | — |
| 0xb048…7f07 | Yes | 9,340 | 77.2¢ | $1.63K | — |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 7,989 | 92.3¢ | $1.4K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| SentimentalValue0x5e69…7f76 | No | 1,638 | 68.5¢ | $1.35K | Losing−$3.22 per $100 · 1,038 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 1,258 | 53.1¢ | $1.04K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| pretzel0xda73…4d41 | Yes | 5,429 | 46.2¢ | $950 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 167 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,014 | 44.0¢ | $837 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| residual0x58c0…1c8e | No | 546 | 50.2¢ | $450 | — |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 2,044 | 33.5¢ | $358 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| qhWExeUat1xTX0xf6f7…06b5 | No | 346 | 69.9¢ | $286 | — |
| The-Joker0x9aeb…2729 | No | 303 | 75.9¢ | $250 | Proven+$2.98 per $100 · 2,738 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 300 | 33.0¢ | $247 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| arbdiscovery0x1452…449c | No | 282 | 36.9¢ | $233 | — |
| 0x687d…e28b | No | 266 | 51.0¢ | $220 | — |
| Remziwithadash0xdfb8…a530 | No | 241 | 88.7¢ | $199 | — |
| junkbonds0xdaad…69cc | Yes | 996 | 45.4¢ | $174 | — |
| chicanery.0xa8c2…b635 | No | 199 | 67.9¢ | $164 | — |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | No | 197 | 5.9¢ | $162 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| marki010xf28f…841a | No | 192 | 52.5¢ | $158 | — |
| PCMTest0x51b1…7865 | Yes | 902 | 80.6¢ | $158 | — |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 800 | 63.0¢ | $140 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 763 | 41.5¢ | $134 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | No | 161 | 9.2¢ | $133 | Losing−$8.54 per $100 · 1,256 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 751 | 55.9¢ | $131 | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,717 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 144 | 38.4¢ | $119 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| housleskytarou0x377e…a9d3 | No | 143 | 36.1¢ | $118 | — |
| TheMasterMind0x555c…ee28 | No | 120 | 50.0¢ | $99 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,797 bets |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | No | 107 | 3.4¢ | $88 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | No | 100 | 36.1¢ | $83 | Positive+$4.99 per $100 · 1,435 bets |
| estoicc0x738a…5996 | No | 100 | 41.0¢ | $83 | Proven+$21.08 per $100 · 758 bets |
| peter2397840x7d58…cfcc | No | 100 | 40.1¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 1,700 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 90 | 53.0¢ | $74 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Lord-Of-Democracy0xe22d…635d | No | 83 | 74.7¢ | $68 | — |
| kgf06180xce4a…f704 | No | 82 | 49.6¢ | $68 | — |
| Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14 | No | 75 | 49.7¢ | $62 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 2,434 bets |
| kstc17a0x328b…fa07 | No | 74 | 39.3¢ | $61 | — |
| theta-thunberg0xb760…ccd7 | Yes | 297 | 40.8¢ | $52 | Proven+$6.21 per $100 · 1,086 bets |
| kstc190xd60d…19a9 | No | 63 | 48.1¢ | $52 | — |
| vad10xb476…6eac | Yes | 250 | 81.0¢ | $44 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 48 | 30.6¢ | $39 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| khanoftruth0x742f…d673 | Yes | 221 | 48.4¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 18,004 bets |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 42 | 5.0¢ | $35 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 193 | 29.9¢ | $34 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| galaxphoenix0xb7f3…8ed2 | No | 40 | 5.9¢ | $33 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 181 | 15.6¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| aylhy770x008a…8451 | Yes | 165 | 97.1¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x7272…1a25 | Yes | 159 | 89.5¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x1e49…0424 | Yes | 150 | 76.2¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xb253…2d38 | No | 27 | 37.6¢ | $23 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 127 | 59.8¢ | $22 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| yen4u0xf0d5…c665 | No | 25 | 60.9¢ | $20 | Losing−$5.26 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | Yes | 111 | 38.5¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| 0x0f3d…d6a5 | Yes | 106 | 77.8¢ | $19 | — |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | No | 22 | 49.0¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,816+ bets · updating |
| ResolvedMarkets0x4109…ad6b | Yes | 100 | 61.8¢ | $18 | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 783 bets |
| 0x9c2d…17d9 | Yes | 100 | 77.5¢ | $17 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 95 | 62.9¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x75d1…7a5f | No | 18 | 28.1¢ | $15 | Proven+$6.26 per $100 · 8,077 bets |
| 0xfa77…de2f | Yes | 72 | 56.5¢ | $13 | — |
| Mewtube0x45d6…303a | Yes | 58 | 49.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1 | No | 12 | 42.3¢ | $10 | — |
| TooYoungToWin0x28ab…2048 | No | 12 | 35.3¢ | $10 | — |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 11 | 53.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 11 | 76.4¢ | $9 | — |
| KARACAC0xbb50…7bfc | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $8 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 46 | 73.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 46 | 73.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Infringe0x79d4…6d24 | Yes | 45 | 70.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,101 bets |
| shiifoo0x30f6…004f | Yes | 43 | 89.5¢ | $8 | — |
| chumos0xe06a…d1cf | No | 8 | 35.1¢ | $7 | — |
| h0385960273550x88b6…3cff | Yes | 35 | 26.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 740 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 7 | 83.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| qiangong0xc858…b97a | No | 7 | 36.1¢ | $6 | — |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | No | 5 | 28.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | Yes | 25 | 63.0¢ | $4 | — |
| gtrich0xf05b…6b51 | No | 5 | 35.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 2ballsdeep0xe558…36d0 | Yes | 21 | 48.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 20 | 14.4¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| gordosabroso0x015e…50be | Yes | 20 | 51.2¢ | $4 | — |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | Yes | 19 | 80.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| 1dzcbb6bgn9p0xc02b…13d1 | Yes | 17 | 40.0¢ | $3 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 16 | 76.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x30db…c941 | Yes | 15 | 68.1¢ | $3 | — |
| ImJustAGirl30x9d61…f6fe | Yes | 13 | 68.1¢ | $2 | — |
| javictoria0x6365…eba8 | Yes | 13 | 39.0¢ | $2 | — |
| rickyspa0x0b45…2c71 | Yes | 10 | 54.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | 10 | 40.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | 10 | 79.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xea85…12dd | Yes | 9 | 39.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x585e…2598 | Yes | 8 | 63.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojsklad0x4529…2790 | Yes | 7 | 96.4¢ | $1 | — |
| olivas0x37a0…ec34 | Yes | 7 | 75.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 778 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 50 shares each side · Show
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