Market · 56 of 71 outcomes
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 01:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1dec…0f87 | No | 190 | 94.7¢ | $186 | — |
| qwertyyyy0xfb5a…8008 | No | 100 | 90.4¢ | $98 | — |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | No | 76 | 79.6¢ | $74 | Proven+$10.89 per $100 · 903 bets |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 52 | 37.5¢ | $51 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 40 | 93.3¢ | $39 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| rx780x5fde…cbbe | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$5.04 per $100 · 1,810 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 20 | 92.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| yuyuyre0xf24f…9806 | No | 9 | 95.0¢ | $9 | — |
| parklsonstt0x3165…a6ac | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.07 per $100 · 110 bets |
| edenmoonff0x5278…8a01 | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.36 per $100 · 112 bets |
| pinasblanket0x586f…dbc2 | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Barcafansaodk0x64a1…bf48 | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.78 per $100 · 112 bets |
| zerosmarket0x7ff6…9e62 | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 117 bets |
| ckwes0xf49b…b6ab | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xad99…dbab | No | 5 | 90.4¢ | $5 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 198 | 7.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| aijoosd0x6993…e1a1 | No | 4 | 95.0¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 70 | 16.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,473+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 55 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 51 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 42 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 30 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 20 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 16 | 7.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 11 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 4 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 14,414 bets |
| Zer555Optimist0x618c…82c8 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 20.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.