Market · 15 of 30 outcomes
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedshouse0xf74b…fd13 | No | 91 | 99.8¢ | $91 | — |
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 24,701 | 0.1¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 11,013 | 0.1¢ | $11 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| wallce20240xfae7…2b89 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 2,930 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| Freedom-BY0xcc7c…1d18 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 725 bets |
| ClariseStarling0070xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,773 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,446 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1,303 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,167 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa3f6…c142 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 805 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| nr456h46hdfhr5t0x8176…817a | Yes | 796 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 601 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 548 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Thevet500xa78f…27d7 | Yes | 347 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 217 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| Palladin0xdcd9…35d4 | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 199 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 177 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 109 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,428 bets |
| hr26g2re62de0xe381…3ba9 | Yes | 105 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 101 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x3db3…8b52 | Yes | 100 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5fb7…0068 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| Dallara0x6709…af18 | Yes | 99 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.01 per $100 · 948 bets |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Vivet0xe474…9b56 | Yes | 88 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 85 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| kexema10xc45b…bd79 | Yes | 83 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 80 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,306 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 75 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| beachboy10x2fab…5623 | Yes | 70 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 60 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$120.85 per $100 · 643 bets |
| OneChina0x2bef…9080 | Yes | 58 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 55 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| jidol290x16c3…576e | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Dimitribechtelardies0xebda…69fe | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 44 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 40 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| REWARDIS0x2392…56b0 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| notCostfren0xb2ac…91ad | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbf6e…3731 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| rykeramucaelora0xc0fb…e201 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.