Market · 8 of 30 outcomes
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 95.5¢ | $498 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 278 | 99.5¢ | $277 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 96 | 90.4¢ | $96 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 8,440 | 0.0¢ | $30 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| recoll0xbd9c…5b2f | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 5,500 | 0.5¢ | $19 | New71 settled bets |
| 0x5bb7…6f64 | Yes | 5,380 | 0.6¢ | $19 | — |
| Bilal950x5f57…61e5 | Yes | 4,139 | 0.5¢ | $14 | New56 settled bets |
| Leon88990x1934…0a4b | Yes | 3,253 | 6.1¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.25 per $100 · 122 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 3,135 | 0.4¢ | $11 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 3,086 | 0.5¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,502 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,000 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| Aubrey59620xcaff…4a6f | No | 10 | 99.7¢ | $10 | — |
| Genesis76680xec76…b24e | No | 9 | 99.8¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x508f…fef3 | Yes | 2,300 | 2.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Susan45500xdd38…d121 | No | 8 | 99.7¢ | $8 | — |
| Robert7600x398f…9515 | No | 8 | 99.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Vivian61540x5f88…881a | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Andrea82530x5ade…72de | No | 7 | 99.7¢ | $7 | — |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 1,850 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Itzik.0x91fa…41d4 | Yes | 1,823 | 1.1¢ | $6 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| milize0x076c…4e7b | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 19,734 bets |
| 0x4c43…2dd0 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| MNF45FGF0xa36b…89bf | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| NastParMusk0x86a3…25d8 | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 1,341 | 9.3¢ | $5 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| Nathan66360x6368…71b5 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| BigBoiBettin0x48ee…008c | Yes | 1,115 | 8.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$19.61 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,073 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0fckfkha855d0x34a5…c4d2 | No | 3 | 94.0¢ | $3 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 888 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Christopher30790x55c7…96c3 | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 3 | 99.6¢ | $3 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 692 | 1.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 683 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,932 bets |
| Freedom-BY0xcc7c…1d18 | Yes | 680 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 725 bets |
| 0x3e3d…bbfa | No | 2 | 91.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x174d…bcf8 | Yes | 628 | 13.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Simyi0x1e85…8aaa | Yes | 625 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Btcking-6090xed85…db4f | Yes | 604 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 603 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | Yes | 582 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| LudoErgoSum0xc8ce…5545 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| smarturn10x264b…cf7f | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.76 per $100 · 316 bets |
| alertuk830x6961…96fd | No | 2 | 93.6¢ | $2 | — |
| kaitemo0x7b0f…145c | Yes | 350 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Wingnuts910x3af4…3203 | Yes | 300 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 100.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.68 per $100 · 349 bets |
| cjodo0xcbb1…1a45 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| happyme0x6ec8…9f6a | No | 1 | 98.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 250 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 205 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| testercom0x5c45…c50b | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x960a…0ef5 | Yes | 200 | 5.0¢ | $1 | New69 settled bets |
| sech0x54bf…cb7f | Yes | 200 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 1 | 97.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 188 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| 0xa3f6…c142 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6a40…599e | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.25 per $100 · 4,466 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 165 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x993f…35cb | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Hannycp0xce93…7361 | Yes | 153 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| yuyu58260xaddc…1cf7 | Yes | 150 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AheadArbitrage0xb14e…fbf8 | Yes | 150 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 129 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| faielli970xb44c…a733 | Yes | 105 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x733f…4e20 | Yes | 102 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| xdogetothemoonx0xaed5…bb6a | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| matia1st0x423d…9e86 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xee10…c240 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TopNotch0xd765…4b8c | Yes | 98 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 98 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 78 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| liSMGSil0xefd1…f914 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 35 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 94.9¢ | $0 | — |
| MHNGFD0x7ae2…ff40 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x93ec…052d | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| OKASME0xcb4f…d275 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.