Market · 13 of 23 outcomes
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | No | 1,137 | 86.9¢ | $995 | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| pink110x97d1…18ef | No | 920 | 87.0¢ | $805 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0VLYp0x289f…4f9a | No | 805 | 74.9¢ | $705 | New49 settled bets |
| adenakoz10xb615…73cf | No | 500 | 87.0¢ | $438 | Proven+$21.35 per $100 · 1,988 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 404 | 73.0¢ | $354 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| Hellboy-winner0x6045…7304 | No | 400 | 88.0¢ | $350 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 265 | 85.3¢ | $232 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| RowenSecret0x3626…e168 | No | 200 | 88.0¢ | $175 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 200 | 89.0¢ | $175 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 5,714 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,166 | 19.2¢ | $146 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | Yes | 1,129 | 14.0¢ | $141 | Proven+$14.56 per $100 · 253 bets |
| balabalababalabala0x2779…239a | No | 125 | 83.0¢ | $109 | Losing−$4.35 per $100 · 2,323 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 832 | 13.0¢ | $104 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 14,414 bets |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | Yes | 512 | 15.2¢ | $64 | Proven+$9.58 per $100 · 496 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 67 | 88.0¢ | $59 | — |
| Klanto0x98e3…9208 | No | 61 | 86.7¢ | $53 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 57 | 87.6¢ | $50 | New42 settled bets |
| shyqa0000x0b57…5975 | Yes | 331 | 29.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$1.31 per $100 · 148 bets |
| Compound-570xfd47…805a | No | 47 | 63.6¢ | $41 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 277 | 5.0¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 227 | 20.0¢ | $28 | — |
| M.elena6780xb5d8…af42 | No | 29 | 86.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Paoul19920x3991…3d0f | No | 24 | 86.0¢ | $21 | — |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | No | 21 | 69.0¢ | $18 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 100 | 17.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 98 | 17.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 91 | 15.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| Abladollosac0x3e98…5389 | No | 12 | 85.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$25.39 per $100 · 101 bets |
| harelbendavid0x2a98…df3b | No | 11 | 88.0¢ | $10 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 79 | 22.5¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 75 | 28.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 10 | 87.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,053 bets |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 74.0¢ | $9 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 79.0¢ | $9 | — |
| jjmcormickk0x7a23…fd56 | Yes | 65 | 31.5¢ | $8 | — |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | 60 | 13.0¢ | $8 | — |
| EndofBeginning880x7828…381b | No | 8 | 86.0¢ | $7 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 50 | 13.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 50 | 12.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 30 | 17.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 23 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 22.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,079 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 13 | 12.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 2 | 66.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 25.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 6,492 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 3,608 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 24.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 4,971 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 3,143 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 10 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 10 | 23.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 72.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.67 per $100 · 350 bets |
| Ty564r0x5b5e…30d3 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.44 per $100 · 163 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 1 | 80.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| suisei201803220x0b83…e589 | Yes | 2 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anony7770x3d77…7004 | Yes | 1 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Escumish0x1924…dff3 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.92 per $100 · 3,286 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| 0x8a63bE6F97A1dC4E83f5B2A7C19D4E60x8a63…1c02 | Yes | 0 | 32.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4af9…3144 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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