Market · 5 of 71 outcomes
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 1,376 | 86.3¢ | $1.23K | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 696 | 84.5¢ | $622 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c |
| No |
| 249 |
| 86.3¢ |
| $222 |
| Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 245 | 90.0¢ | $219 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| easierthanmanifold0xe151…a852 | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $89 | — |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 501 | 8.9¢ | $54 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 441 | 7.7¢ | $47 | Losing−$13.57 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 0xdfd2…dedf | Yes | 358 | 21.0¢ | $38 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 41 | 92.5¢ | $36 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 274 | 7.5¢ | $29 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| Zachattack5000x4cf2…e31c | Yes | 237 | 8.3¢ | $25 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 391 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 169 | 16.8¢ | $18 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $17 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 160 | 6.6¢ | $17 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 12 | 88.6¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| yoyoyo5430xbbd2…9b1a | Yes | 100 | 16.0¢ | $11 | — |
| polymonkey0x8b34…87fe | Yes | 98 | 20.4¢ | $10 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 80 | 2.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x39c9…ddeb | Yes | 69 | 26.9¢ | $7 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 7 | 84.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| Stereopath0x6201…75cd | Yes | 54 | 18.4¢ | $6 | — |
| no1biao0xdf08…cf97 | No | 5 | 80.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 30 | 25.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x8f9f…36e1 | Yes | 30 | 10.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 29 | 9.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 25 | 5.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 24 | 5.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| doypiedoyp0x74d7…b1c3 | Yes | 21 | 23.6¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 2 | 92.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Egis0x75b5…d3de | Yes | 17 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Centaurspencer0x5939…7560 | Yes | 12 | 17.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Xanthan0x311c…d7ce | Yes | 10 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Tomer120xb442…bed7 | No | 1 | 85.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5bca…a34e | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | 5 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc3aa…bddc | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 4 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 3 | 20.4¢ | $0 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| wapplegate0x2132…acbe | Yes | 1 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| shinramyvn0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | 1 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Preballin0x3e49…ae9d | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ExpectTheUnexpected0x6368…eea5 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiDISNEY0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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