Market · 11 of 46 outcomes
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 2,042 | 74.2¢ | $1.41K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 1,786 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 2,552 | 26.3¢ | $791 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| Giorgio20x9cb9…7b80 | No | 1,018 | 71.0¢ | $702 | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,037 bets |
| Montecarlaw0xb524…0808 | No | 1,007 | 74.3¢ | $695 | Positive+$1.86 per $100 · 1,033 bets |
| Call-me-GG0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | 775 | 28.2¢ | $240 | New46 settled bets |
| Utoya0xfd0e…d918 | No | 298 | 74.4¢ | $206 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 225 | 72.6¢ | $155 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| q828503250xce38…1325 | Yes | 364 | 28.2¢ | $113 | — |
| Zarshka0xc1cf…9656 | No | 162 | 60.0¢ | $112 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 1,809 bets |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 161 | 42.6¢ | $111 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 311 | 44.1¢ | $96 | New69 settled bets |
| DontTrustMe0x0403…a7ee | No | 112 | 72.4¢ | $77 | Proven+$26.89 per $100 · 115 bets |
| jaihind0xfbf8…cb04 | No | 100 | 70.8¢ | $69 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 93 | 72.0¢ | $64 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| Stefnc0xd515…2c54 | Yes | 181 | 28.4¢ | $56 | — |
| loveiskind0x5e89…3e95 | Yes | 161 | 31.8¢ | $50 | — |
| Mitchos0x4775…ce75 | Yes | 158 | 32.5¢ | $49 | — |
| recif20000x39b0…16ef | Yes | 155 | 65.4¢ | $48 | — |
| Pikassiette0x3ad0…2bb5 | Yes | 151 | 31.4¢ | $47 | New0 settled bets |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Yes | 140 | 35.9¢ | $43 | Positive+$5.01 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| 0xe004…7849 | No | 56 | 64.9¢ | $39 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 50 | 73.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| Quai-Orsay0xe41e…5aa1 | No | 50 | 70.0¢ | $35 | — |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | 100 | 30.9¢ | $31 | — |
| maddersky0xee95…7c45 | Yes | 100 | 30.4¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xc249…5353 | Yes | 84 | 28.5¢ | $26 | — |
| weshmaggle0xf973…f6e5 | Yes | 83 | 39.3¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 30 | 66.1¢ | $21 | Proven+$11.58 per $100 · 741 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 29 | 73.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 24 | 73.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| VladimirK19880x63ca…4bdf | Yes | 50 | 32.2¢ | $16 | New44 settled bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 50 | 31.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| FoolAndHisMoney0x85df…fb48 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $14 | — |
| perepuk0x51f2…38ef | Yes | 41 | 56.0¢ | $13 | — |
| biboutou0xb014…c6f4 | No | 15 | 74.8¢ | $10 | New0 settled bets |
| Sinusitis0x2e4a…ac2e | No | 11 | 76.7¢ | $8 | — |
| caprice10xc98e…f0e7 | Yes | 21 | 96.2¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9c00…261e | Yes | 19 | 34.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 8 | 74.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,029 bets |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 7 | 68.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 66,579 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 13 | 14.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 71.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe1ec…f7db | No | 4 | 46.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x97b4…d794 | No | 4 | 79.7¢ | $3 | New36 settled bets |
| 0x6045…3530 | Yes | 8 | 24.7¢ | $3 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 3 | 75.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | 5 | 26.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.04 per $100 · 4,142 bets |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 5 | 26.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$33.83 per $100 · 567 bets |
| AlfredCh0x9d08…b858 | No | 1 | 74.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 3 | 37.0¢ | $1 | — |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 3 | 32.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AnonymeD0xced9…4e81 | Yes | 3 | 41.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | No | 1 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 1 | 25.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,141+ bets · updating |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| newaccount21350x30ec…cebb | No | 0 | 72.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.