Market · 1 of 16 outcomes
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 09:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 1,478 | 83.8¢ | $1.3K | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 1,944 bets |
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 300 | 87.0¢ | $264 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | Yes | 200 | 89.0¢ | $176 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 562 bets |
| louiskff0xffe4…a151 | Yes | 128 | 78.7¢ | $113 | — |
| Ledinonciateur0xcae5…a796 | Yes | 111 | 90.4¢ | $98 | — |
| zzaazzoo0x042d…0720 | Yes | 100 | 87.0¢ | $88 | Positive+$3.05 per $100 · 526 bets |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | No | 600 | 13.5¢ | $72 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 3,618 bets |
| rocky420070x6b17…03b2 | Yes | 75 | 87.0¢ | $66 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 9,818 bets |
| Mathis.BTC0xfddc…8624 | Yes | 55 | 88.4¢ | $48 | — |
| 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | 269 | 12.4¢ | $32 | — |
| 0x38d5…bfc9 | No | 208 | 12.4¢ | $25 | — |
| ewuly1230xa1b8…392a | Yes | 23 | 88.4¢ | $20 | — |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 165 | 13.0¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,384 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 125 | 18.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$8.69 per $100 · 13,398 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 108 | 16.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$4.99 per $100 · 8,791 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 100 | 11.5¢ | $12 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 125,659+ bets · updating |
| kry670x07ea…7fc4 | No | 50 | 20.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 87.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 32 | 12.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,079 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 15.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 23.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 10 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,063 bets |
| Rougrot0xa4e3…b39e | Yes | 1 | 85.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xab7e…1a5f | Yes | 1 | 90.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | Yes | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.68 per $100 · 1,732 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 8 | 20.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.37 per $100 · 113,391 bets |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 2 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 2,209 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 12.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,953 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 11.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,785 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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