Market · 2 of 46 outcomes
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 5,236 | 88.6¢ | $4.82K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 689 | 80.3¢ | $634 | New69 settled bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 647 | 89.6¢ | $595 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| Mathis.BTC0xfddc…8624 | Yes | 423 | 88.4¢ | $389 | — |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | Yes | 330 | 42.6¢ | $303 | — |
| 0xb4d1…4c60 | No | 1,812 | 13.6¢ | $145 | New79 settled bets |
| titouan0x4f0d…336a | Yes | 150 | 89.8¢ | $138 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 150 | 84.7¢ | $138 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 138 | 16.0¢ | $127 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | Yes | 133 | 80.7¢ | $122 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| Amour-2100x3134…746a | Yes | 117 | 88.0¢ | $108 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | Yes | 111 | 91.7¢ | $102 | — |
| Sisco780x2690…299a | Yes | 100 | 85.0¢ | $92 | — |
| toladou0xfc19…1220 | Yes | 100 | 90.4¢ | $92 | — |
| 0x6fd4…5cfc | Yes | 62 | 17.6¢ | $57 | — |
| 0xf5e4…471a | No | 695 | 9.9¢ | $56 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 675 | 34.7¢ | $54 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 519 | 8.0¢ | $42 | — |
| Zarshka0xc1cf…9656 | No | 500 | 76.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 1,809 bets |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 461 | 36.1¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 453 | 15.0¢ | $36 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| fgdhdghrthr0x86a6…1ac6 | No | 439 | 14.0¢ | $35 | — |
| 0x7023…b538 | No | 421 | 3.0¢ | $34 | — |
| Ohcrap0x8212…5933 | No | 417 | 12.4¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 472 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 33 | 91.3¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 28 | 21.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | No | 280 | 9.5¢ | $22 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Anarcholibertaire0x45e7…b76b | Yes | 20 | 17.0¢ | $18 | — |
| vyemfql0x5848…b529 | No | 226 | 80.6¢ | $18 | Proven+$12.63 per $100 · 203 bets |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 200 | 75.1¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| gustrot0x054d…27bf | Yes | 17 | 19.0¢ | $16 | — |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 180 | 13.5¢ | $14 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 14 | 91.1¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 132 | 10.5¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,307 bets |
| 0xf60b…7291 | Yes | 11 | 90.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | 11 | 71.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| yuteman0x207c…f5b0 | No | 122 | 82.6¢ | $10 | — |
| sheeple90000x2efb…d22e | Yes | 10 | 87.5¢ | $9 | — |
| nevermoreee0x3677…c090 | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $9 | — |
| FrozenTomato0x9d06…c4e8 | Yes | 10 | 90.8¢ | $9 | — |
| ellebel0xa408…3dc1 | No | 110 | 9.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x134e…cdfd | No | 100 | 8.0¢ | $8 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 100 | 8.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| AnonymeD0xced9…4e81 | No | 96 | 11.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Lepolo0x9127…6ff3 | No | 87 | 61.2¢ | $7 | Proven+$4.07 per $100 · 907 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 71 | 84.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| balerinacapuchina0xd86d…648d | Yes | 6 | 89.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 220 bets |
| Doowee0xd6d2…3d65 | Yes | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 5 | 52.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 57 | 21.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 50 | 10.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 50 | 85.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 50 | 60.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x55b8…bda4 | No | 49 | 11.4¢ | $4 | — |
| Dasdilwaldaaf10xc8bc…ed39 | No | 46 | 13.0¢ | $4 | — |
| krustibetsss0x8fc0…5a60 | No | 45 | 11.4¢ | $4 | — |
| PlumpMe0x5330…43e2 | Yes | 4 | 28.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x0e19…3f79 | Yes | 3 | 91.2¢ | $3 | — |
| jppinu0xfed8…60de | No | 38 | 13.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc249…5353 | Yes | 3 | 91.0¢ | $3 | — |
| cpctbusiness0x8807…d08a | Yes | 3 | 90.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Donalddingue0x4262…358e | Yes | 3 | 39.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 3 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| jenetmarre0x785a…d8a4 | No | 28 | 9.3¢ | $2 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 23 | 9.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | Yes | 2 | 90.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xdc7d…b552 | Yes | 2 | 91.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 4fxt82eutez00x87bf…a0c8 | Yes | 2 | 92.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 1 | 85.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x91ad…b29e | Yes | 1 | 82.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4ceb…2f1d | No | 11 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| sicario920x3493…50fb | Yes | 1 | 32.3¢ | $1 | New25 settled bets |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | No | 10 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| valorun0xe82a…db8d | No | 10 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdf1asdf1110xac71…f74c | Yes | 1 | 21.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dav1870x7953…cbb4 | No | 6 | 79.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x381e…a962 | No | 6 | 85.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x39cb…77fb | Yes | 0 | 91.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 4 | 90.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| keybo0xc71b…e265 | No | 3 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x57b9…0464 | No | 3 | 87.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | Yes | 0 | 83.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3aee…a04a | No | 2 | 87.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbc2f…8d3e | No | 2 | 87.5¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
| 0x3ff0…4a80 | No | 2 | 87.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xee6a…b75c | No | 1 | 87.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 1 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 1 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Sequitur-20x279d…9266 | Yes | 0 | 24.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 0 | 87.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Yes | 0 | 79.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 1,784 bets |
| Antouane0x0dcb…9540 | Yes | 0 | 32.2¢ | $0 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 16.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.