Market · 14 of 23 outcomes
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 8 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 816 | 91.6¢ | $746 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,109 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 525 | 92.5¢ | $480 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 419 | 90.6¢ | $383 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 357 | 83.3¢ | $326 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,978 bets |
| balabalababalabala0x2779…239a | No | 87 | 80.0¢ | $80 | Losing−$4.35 per $100 · 2,323 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 619 | 10.7¢ | $53 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 43 | 91.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 524 bets |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | Yes | 450 | 13.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 36 | 90.9¢ | $33 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 30 | 87.0¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| Nexxus20250x0500…17cd | No | 30 | 88.0¢ | $27 | — |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 299 | 15.4¢ | $25 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 193 | 11.4¢ | $16 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 157 | 11.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 14 | 92.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| 0x1828…5bcc | No | 11 | 90.9¢ | $10 | — |
| V4Mb7vN6JDACV10xceb4…f81a | No | 8 | 89.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 77 | 13.7¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| Tirante0x4d17…a23c | Yes | 71 | 14.0¢ | $6 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 70 | 12.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 60 | 9.5¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 52 | 9.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 40 | 6.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| 0x6d40…0f44 | Yes | 40 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 40 | 12.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7d88…eab3 | Yes | 33 | 10.0¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 17.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 16.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | 26 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 23 | 13.0¢ | $2 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 92.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.67 per $100 · 350 bets |
| allabtkris20xc7c9…9383 | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 3,608 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 4,971 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 10 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| romanew-crypto0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | 10 | 28.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | 9 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.04 per $100 · 2,556 bets |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | No | 0 | 87.4¢ | $0 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 160 shares each side · Show
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