Market · 13 of 15 outcomes
Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No | 67 | 81.0¢ | $67 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,123 | 5.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,630 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 667 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,177 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 489 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,844 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 419 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,097 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 190 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 162 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 152 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 149 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 144 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 134 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 133 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 125 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 118 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,899+ bets · updating |
| klli270xc04e…c1f9 | Yes | 117 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 108 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 105 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 99 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 93 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Bska360x9dc2…0727 | Yes | 92 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 81 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 70 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 67 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 61 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 60 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 50 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | Yes | 50 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 49 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 47 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 43 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.14 per $100 · 20,690 bets |
| JasonTheWhale0x5fe6…71ed | Yes | 38 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 36 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
| witness-me0x67c8…ec9e | Yes | 35 | 8.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | 31 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 28 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 25 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| hr26g2re62de0xe381…3ba9 | Yes | 25 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| elpatrondelaciudad0x156b…0f5b | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 20 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | Yes | 15 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| rocket0060x7272…a547 | Yes | 13 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe04b…5041 | Yes | 10 | 18.5¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 6 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Sonti220x0c38…291f | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ElectionBetter12340xb29a…ae79 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.