Market · 14 of 16 outcomes
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlindAndDeaf0x40a6…133c | No | 672 | 92.1¢ | $655 | New39 settled bets |
| prophet-spaces0x2dd2…d5d8 | No | 566 | 96.6¢ | $551 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x2d5f…9c36 | No | 170 | 93.7¢ | $166 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 112 bets |
| EEEeee0x1e57…7a52 | No | 52 | 95.7¢ | $51 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 32 | 96.0¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| Aou1680x4015…b0e2 | No | 30 | 95.8¢ | $29 | — |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 21 | 96.3¢ | $20 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 414 | 4.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 390 | 3.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 8 | 95.6¢ | $8 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 265 | 4.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 240 | 3.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| TAOBAO0x3eef…c865 | No | 6 | 92.0¢ | $6 | — |
| houhouhouhouhou0x0002…0d79 | No | 5 | 96.3¢ | $5 | — |
| benjaminloi0x4977…9a3d | No | 4 | 96.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Gogog8880x75d7…d5e6 | No | 4 | 96.0¢ | $4 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 3 | 95.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 96.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 166 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 59 | 2.7¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 57 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | Yes | 45 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sailang990xa0bb…126f | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| patientman0x6a3b…c0e0 | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | New26 settled bets |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 96.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.68 per $100 · 349 bets |
| 0x1508…2e0b | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| qcp140xa76b…8a50 | Yes | 29 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Matrosass0xfcef…2d39 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 6 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 4 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 0 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 55 shares each side · Show
|