Market · 8 of 23 outcomes
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | No | 948 | 73.1¢ | $749 | Proven+$13.22 per $100 · 3,556 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 853 | 79.9¢ | $674 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 707 | 23.7¢ | $148 | Positive+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 132 | 75.3¢ | $104 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 129 | 71.0¢ | $102 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 100 | 84.0¢ | $79 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 317 | 22.0¢ | $66 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| balabalababalabala0x2779…239a | Yes | 304 | 22.0¢ | $64 | Losing−$4.35 per $100 · 2,323 bets |
| Sylphyr0xe838…4f93 | No | 50 | 83.0¢ | $40 | — |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | Yes | 120 | 29.9¢ | $25 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 101 | 21.1¢ | $21 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 85 | 24.7¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 80 | 24.0¢ | $17 | — |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | No | 21 | 86.0¢ | $17 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 65 | 36.5¢ | $14 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 64 | 21.3¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | Yes | 57 | 22.6¢ | $12 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 50 | 30.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 48 | 27.3¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| KG0080xb7c0…8ef2 | Yes | 32 | 34.4¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 31 | 36.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 24 | 21.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 37.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 21.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 20 | 22.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 5 | 74.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 18 | 25.3¢ | $4 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 17 | 26.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 3 | 72.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 29.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 3,608 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 10 | 29.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 10 | 28.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 9 | 27.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 2 | 74.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 7 | 33.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Bitjana770x30df…beef | No | 1 | 71.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mangostein0x544f…4cb9 | No | 1 | 74.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x13f5…e9a7 | Yes | 5 | 30.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 5,375 bets |
| 0x3245…7139 | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 3 | 26.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 77.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 26.4¢ | $0 | — |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 0 | 25.7¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | No | 0 | 66.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 83.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| HE110W0R1D0xa86f…022c | Yes | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 50 shares each side · Show
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