Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? · Polyray
Market
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
Chance of Yes
▼ 1 pt this week
Money on this market
Room to trade
4¢ between buy and sell
Ends
Jan 1
in 81 days
Full rules
As written on Polymarket for “Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?”.
§1This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron convenes the electorate for a nationwide referendum between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
§2Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
§3To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP).
§4Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.
§5A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice.
§6Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.
§7If Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France before issuing a qualifying presidential decree, this market will resolve to "No" immediately.
§8This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying decree is officially published, regardless of when and whether a referendum is held.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
§9The primary resolution source will be the Journal officiel "Lois et Décrets" on Légifrance (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/jorf/jo); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.