Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 96.2¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 190 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.83 per $100 · 36,123+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 87 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 80 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 60 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 60 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 58 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.28 per $100 · 35,166+ bets · updating |
| wedontdothesame0xc2b3…cd72 | Yes | 15 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 3 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Rondônia · 1 event · $1.9K in play