Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 186 | 97.0¢ | $181 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 107 | 93.0¢ | $104 | New96 settled bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 66 | 95.8¢ | $64 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 31 | 96.1¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 141 | 10.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 77 | 5.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3829…dea6 | Yes | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x91ad…b29e | Yes | 1 | 99.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| house20010x52c7…7b7a | No | 3 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Brazil Runoff · Ceará Vote Winner · 1 event · $419 in play